Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (04/01/2021)

Dear Sir or Madam,

First of all, we don’t want to fail to wish you a happy new year.

From the point of view of the markets, the past year was positive despite the corona pandemic and its negative consequences for the global economy. Not only did the DAX record an all-time high shortly before the end of the year, the prices for CO2 emission rights also reached their highest level for the December 2021 future of EUR 33.50 per EUA on December 28, 2020.

At the end of the year, the no-deal Brexit, which was prevented just in time, was a strong price driver. In addition, Donald Trump has now signed the US economic stimulus package, which is why the prices so far see no reason for a correction in the new year.

But as we all know, the stock market is not a one-way street and corrections are necessary and good in both the financial markets and the commodity markets. The only question is when this will happen and how quickly the bullish sentiment will then turn, which could be caused solely by negative reports regarding new or more extensive lockdowns in the leading industrial nations.

The prices for emission rights also start with a significant plus on the first trading day in the new year, which, in addition to the current positive view of the market participants, is also due to the fact that the first auction of EUAs in 2021 will not take place until Friday, January 29th, 2021 Leipzig EEX is carried out. On this day, 2,651,000 EUAs of the new trading period will be auctioned, which, however, cannot be used to meet the surrender obligation for 2020. In the first week of February, 15.1 million EUA will be auctioned.

Please also note that the Union Registry will not be accessible until January 7th, 2021, 10:00 a.m. due to a software update and therefore no transactions can be carried out.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument24/12/202031/12/2020Change
EUA (Spot-Market)32.02 EUR32.54 EUR+0.52 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)32.19 EUR32.72 EUR+0.53 EUR
CER (Spot-Market)0.40 EUR0.37 EUR-0.03 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)51.19 USD51.42 USD+0.23 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.2153 USD1.2197 USD+0.0044 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (28/12/2020)

Dear Sir or Madam,

No no-deal Brexit after all! Literally at the last moment on Christmas Eve, Brussels and London have reached an agreement on the relationship between the UK and the EU. This answers the many hitherto unanswered questions on trade and other important issues in dealing with each other. Only the coming months will show how the more than 1000 pages of rules will work out in practice. But the news itself was understandably greeted with great relief, because any agreement would have been better than none.

Another major topic last week was the start of vaccination in Europe, after the first product against the Corona virus was also approved by the EU. The vaccine should and will now gradually be made available to the different population groups.

Against the background of this positive news, the price of emission certificates rose sharply again at the end of the last trading week and left the 30-euro mark clearly behind. In today’s early trading, the mark of 33 euros was even overcome, although here we are still talking about EUAs of the third trading period. It is not until 29 January that the EU begins auctioning allowances from the new trading period, allowances that can then be used for the first time at the beginning of 2022 for the compliance obligation. EUAs from the third trading period will remain valid indefinitely. However, it is to be expected that with the start of the new auctions until 30.04.21, i.e. the end of the 2020 compliance period, two different prices will come into effect, as it is known that only allowances from the third trading period can be used for this compliance period.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument18/12/202024/12/2020Change
EUA (Spot-Market)30.92 EUR32.02 EUR+1.10 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)31.10 EUR32.19 EUR+1.09 EUR
CER (Spot-Market)0.36 EUR0.40 EUR+0.04 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)52.26 USD51.19 USD-1.07 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.2255 USD1.2153 USD-0.0102 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Merry Christmas and a happy New Year 2021!

Dear Sir or Madam,

At the end of this year 2020, which is characterized by many special challenges and experiences, we thank you for the good and trusting cooperation with you!

We wish you and your friends, family members, employees and colleagues a Merry Christmas and a good start into a hopefully healthy and successful New Year 2021!

This year, too, we don’t want to give away anything physical, but rather actively do something for climate protection in the interests of all of us by supporting climate protection projects.

Therefore, this year we carried out the voluntary offsetting of fifty tons of CO2 from the international climate protection project (CDM CN9084 in China), which prevents the emission of 468,720 tons of CO2 annually by reducing the emission of carbon dioxide during heat and energy generation in Yulin in the Shaanxi Province, significantly reduced and also improves the air quality in Yulin. This project is supported by Finland and Germany.

This increases the quality of life of the people in Shaanxi Province while at the same time improving climate protection.

Because one thing has also become apparent this year – the nations of the world are in a position to face global crises together. Therefore, the current pandemic gives us hope that the fight against climate change can also be successful and that we will use the year 2021 to start a more sustainable path for the future.

With Christmas greetings

Your ADVANTAG team

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (21/12/2020)

Dear Sir or Madam,

a mutation of the Covid-19 virus has occurred in Great Britain, which is why the British government is trying to seal off the clusters. In addition, France has closed the Eurotunnel and both Germany and Austria have imposed entry stops on aircraft from the island.

This is likely to affect the British economically even before a very likely hard Brexit. However, this is not only associated with economic uncertainties for the British in the coming weeks, but is also likely to have a negative impact on the EU financial markets in the remaining trading days of the end of 2020.

Starting next year, Great Britain will no longer participate in the European emissions trading system EUETS. After both a CO2 tax and emissions trading were up for grabs, the government has now decided on its own CO2 trading system. There will be a minimum price of GBP 15 per ton in the UK ETS and the CO2 certificates will be auctioned on the London ICE as usual.

The affected sectors in Great Britain are now to be reduced by 24% from 155 million tonnes in the coming year to 117.5 million tonnes of CO2e in 2030 using the cap-and-trade mechanism.

However, it is unclear whether the British emissions trading system should be linked to the EU ETS in a similar way to the Swiss emissions trading system and will certainly depend on the outcome of the extended Brexit negotiations.

Last week, the prices for EU emission rights showed a new all-time high of EUR 32.50 per EUA for the high-volume December 2021 contract and the trading week also ended with a visible plus, which in addition to higher energy prices also came with the end of the auctions related.

The ongoing uncertainties regarding the Brexit negotiations and the further development of the pandemic as well as the new British virus mutation will certainly continue to affect trade in the Christmas week. The new week therefore started with a clear minus of more than 3% and some speculators could also use this to take profits.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument11/12/202018/12/2020Change
EUA (Spot-Market)30.48 EUR30.92 EUR+0.44 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)30.52 EUR31.10 EUR+0.58 EUR
CER (Spot-Market)0.31 EUR0.36 EUR+0.05 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)49.96 USD52.26 USD+2.30 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.2108 USD1.2255 USD+0.0147 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards, Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (14/12/2020)

Dear Sir or Madam,

In September the European Commission proposed that greenhouse gas emissions in the EU should be reduced by at least 55 percent by 2030 compared to 1990 levels. The previous goal was 40 percent. The new target was based on a comprehensive impact assessment of the social, economic and environmental impacts. This showed that 55 percent fewer emissions are realistic and feasible. The new climate target is now intended to help support Europe’s economic recovery from the coronavirus pandemic.

Even if critics do not go far enough, the European Union has set a milestone with today’s decision and has ended the use of fossil fuels for energy generation in the medium term.

And yes, it would be naive to call for further reductions, because the necessary transformation of society in the post-corona society of Europe will already unsettle quite a few people and without the willingness of the masses to implement any plan, however good it may be, would fail miserably . One only has to think of the cheap populists who are already in the starting blocks to classify climate change as an ideology and to present scientific evidence as unproven despite the greatest possible international consensus.

It was by no means a matter of course that an agreement could take place at EU level, it required a lot of debates and culminated in a night of negotiations, since every EU nation naturally pursues its own interests and still has to be taken along. The German Chancellor Angela Merkel and the French President Emanuel Macron were among the most important supporters, who ultimately prevailed.

As with all urgent EU decisions, a very significant point was the question of funding. Here, the EU fund with 750 million is intended to pave the way to a more sustainable and European economy.

In the run-up to this decision, the market for European CO2 emission rights has positioned itself clearly bullish and set an exclamation mark on Friday last week with an all-time high of 31.30 euros per EUA and this was already exceeded again in today’s early trading.

The market also sees the fact that the Brexit negotiations, which should be concluded by yesterday, are being extended as positive. Only the renewed lockdown in Germany and the failure of the Brexit negotiations are among the factors this week that could put a stop to the bullish market events.

Today, Monday, the last 3,959,500 EUAs for this year will be auctioned at the Leipzig EEX.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument04/11/202011/12/2020Change
EUA (Spot-Market)30.11 EUR30.48 EUR+0.37 EUR
EUA (December-2020-Future)30.11 EUR30.52 EUR+0.41 EUR
CER (Spot-Market)0.30 EUR0.31 EUR+0.01 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)49.06 USD49.96 USD+0.90 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.2122 USD1.2108 USD-0.0014 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH