Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (27/04/2020)

Dear Sirs and Madames,

Today the Petersberg climate dialogue begins, in which international measures to combat global warming are negotiated. As a novelty, this conference is taking place virtually for the first time, which is not least more conducive to the climate than if ministers from 30 nations travel by plane.

However, due to the global corona pandemic, the focus this year has shifted to sustainable crisis management, and the world should emerge from the crisis in a more crisis-proof and climate-friendly manner. Crisis as an opportunity, so to speak.

The President this year is the British Minister for the Economy and Energy, Alok Sharma. He sees the opportunity for a green and crisis-proof restart to meet the commitments of the Paris climate protection agreement. Here, a “green recovery” is desirable, which can be achieved, among other things, by target-oriented economic stimulus programs.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel will also give a speech on Tuesday, which is eagerly awaited due to her global political influence.

It would be a tragedy if the world did not use this phase of the global crisis to seize the unique opportunity to make itself more environmentally friendly and sustainable. In coping with the corona pandemic, almost all state leaders ultimately show that they can govern responsibly.

In the past trading week, the prices for CO2 emission certificates were stable despite the oil crisis and decoupled from the events on the energy markets. While oil warehouses around the world are full and demand will not increase significantly in the foreseeable future, the prices for European permit rights EUA remain in the range of around 21 euros in the last week before the deadline for 2019 significantly influenced, will be visible at the beginning of the next trading week at the latest.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument17/04/202017/04/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)21.66 EUR21.01 EUR-0.65 EUR
EUA (December-2020-Future)21.70 EUR21.05 EUR-0.65 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.31 EUR0.31 EUR+0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)28.25 USD21.86 USD-6.39 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0871 USD1.0819 USD-0.0052 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (20/04/2020)

Dear Madam or Sir,

The sky over northern Europe is a brilliant blue – a message that not only spreads good humour. In Germany, for example, the stable weather conditions this month caused temperatures to be significantly too high and a pronounced drought. On a long-term average, April is already 1.7 degrees too warm and a change in the situation is predicted by meteorologists for May at the earliest. In terms of the usual amount of precipitation, April has so far only met just under 3 percent of its target. These are alarming messages for agriculture and forestry.

This is a continuation of the problematic weather situations which scientists clearly attribute to global climate change. It is therefore extremely important that in its fight against the corona pandemic, politicians do not neglect the fight to achieve the climate targets. In fact, the first voices have already been heard that would like to see efforts to reduce CO2 emissions weakened by the crisis.

A look at the oil price shows that the decision of the oil-producing countries has had no lasting impact on the market situation. The planned reductions in production volumes are obviously not sufficient to compensate for the imbalance between supply and demand. Thus, after a brief recovery, the oil price is once again in the region of its 20-year low.

The price of CO2 emission certificates was also impressed by this last week and initially lost significantly in the middle of the week. In the second half of the week, however, buyers showed great favour and pulled the price up rapidly. At the start of the new trading week and with the deadline for compliance in mind, the price is currently above the 21-euro mark.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument09/04/202017/04/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)21,03 EUR21.66 EUR+0.63 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)21,08 EUR21.70 EUR+0.62 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0,31 EUR0.31 EUR+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)31,77 USD28.25 USD-3.52 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1,0923 USD1.0871 USD-0.0052 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (13/04/2020)

Dear Madam or Sir,

In the past year, the specific emission factor for the generation of one kilowatt hour of electricity in the average German electricity mix fell to 401 grams, which is 38% less than in the reference year 1990 and 14% less than in 2018. According to preliminary figures, the number for electricity generation in 2019 was 219 millions of tons of CO2 emitted, compared to 269 million tons in the previous year, and in 1990 electricity generation still caused 366 million tons of CO2.

Due to the slump in the global economy caused by the Corona virus, there is currently a significant oversupply of oil, which is why the oil cartel OPEC and its partners have agreed to cut production by 9.7 million barrels a day in May and June ( 159 liters) to be decided. This is intended to stabilize the price, which again suffered significantly in the past week.

Regardless, prices for greenhouse gas emissions have visibly recovered by more than 17% in the past shortened trading week. In addition to the realization that the market stability reserve will intercept a feared surplus of allowances in contrast to the previous economic and financial crisis, there is now also the fact that the obligated companies have to fulfill their compliance duty to pay for the previous year by the end of the month. So if one speculated on further falling prices, would be now deceived.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument03/04/202009/04/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)17.86 EUR21,03 EUR+3.17 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)18.06 EUR21,08 EUR+3.02 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.31 EUR0,31 EUR+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)34.95 USD31,77 USD-3.18 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0802 USD1,0923 USD+0.0121 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (06/04/2020)

Dear Sirs and Madams,

Around 800 million tonnes of greenhouse gases were emitted in Germany in 2019, which corresponds to a 6.3% decrease compared to 2018, as the preliminary assessment by the Federal Environment Agency shows. This means a decrease of 35.7% compared to 1990.

The energy industry in particular contributed to this with a reduction of approx. 17%, which was mainly due to the lower use of coal due to the higher prices for emission rights, but also to the higher share of renewable energies.

In the transport and building sectors, on the other hand, there were increasing carbon emissions, not least due to the sales figures for high-performance motor vehicles and SUVs.

So far, the year of the financial and economic crisis 2009 was the year with the largest decrease in greenhouse gas emissions, which will now be followed by 2019.

How big the decline will be in 2020 cannot yet be estimated, since nobody can estimate with any certainty when the crisis mode will be released and the economy can pick up speed again. In addition, it is still completely uncertain how high the direct economic effects and their collateral damage will be.

This will also determine the prices for carbon emissions allowances in the coming weeks, which have shown a first bottoming in the past week. The extent to which this continues depends not least on political decisions taken at national and European level to alleviate the crisis in Europe.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument27/03/202003/04/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)16.31 EUR17,86 EUR+1.55 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)16.39 EUR18,06 EUR+1.67 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.29 EUR0,31 EUR+0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)28.15 USD34,95 USD+6.80 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1169 USD1,0802 USD-0.0367 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissionshandel / CO2 – Marktbericht vom 06.04.2020

Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,

2019 wurden in Deutschland ungefähr 800 Millionen Tonnen Treibhausgase emittiert, was einem Rückgang von 6,3% gegenüber 2018 entspricht, wie die vorläufige Bilanz des Umweltbundesamtes aufzeigt. Dies bedeutet gegenüber 1990 einen Rückgang um 35,7%.

Insbesondere die Energiewirtschaft trug hierzu mit einer Reduktion von ca. 17% bei, was vor allem an der gesunkenen Nutzung von Kohle aufgrund der höheren Preise für Emissionsrechte lag, aber auch am höheren Anteil erneuerbarer Energien.

In den Bereichen Verkehr und Gebäude hingegen waren steigende CO2-Emissionen zu verzeichnen, was nicht zuletzt an den Verkaufszahlen leistungsstarker Kraftfahrzeuge und SUVs lag.

Bislang war das Jahr der Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise 2009 das Jahr mit dem größten Rückgang an Treibhausgasemissionen, was nun von 2019 gefolgt wird.

Wie hoch der Rückgang im Jahr 2020 sein wird, lässt sich noch nicht abschätzen, da niemand mit auch nur annähernder Sicherheit abschätzen kann, wann der Krisenmodus aufgehoben wird und die Wirtschaft wieder Fahrt aufnehmen kann. Zudem ist noch völlig ungewiss, wie hoch die direkten ökonomischen Auswirkungen und deren Kollateralschäden sein werden.

Dies wird auch die Preise für CO2-Emissionen in den kommenden Wochen bestimmen, welche in der vergangenen Woche eine erste Bodenbildung gezeigt haben. Inwieweit diese anhält, hängt nicht zuletzt von politischen Entscheidungen ab, welche auf nationaler und europäischer Ebene getroffen werden, um die Krise in Europa abzumildern.

(Durchschnittliche Börsenkurse / OTC)   
Instrument27.03.2003.04.20Veränderung
EUA (Spotmarkt)16,31 EUR17,86 EUR+1,55 EUR
EUA (Dezember-2020-Future)16,39 EUR18,06 EUR+1,67 EUR
CER (Spotmarkt)0,29 EUR0,31 EUR+0,02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)28,15 USD34,95 USD+6,80 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1,1169 USD1,0802 USD-0,0367 USD

(Die durchschnittlichen Börsenkurse und OTC-Preise zeigen das jeweilige Mittel von Angebot und Nachfrage verschiedener Handelsplätze für CO2-Emissionsrechte. Bid und Ask weichen üblicherweise mehrere Cent vom Mittelwert ab. Rohöl und Euro zeigen Börsenschlusskurse. Bei den CER-Kursen handelt es sich um CP2-CERs, welche im Rahmen des EU-ETS Verwendung finden können. Unsere Marktberichte stellen keine Empfehlung zum Handel von Emissionsrechten oder deren Derivaten dar und dienen ausschließlich der Information. Sollten Sie den Newsletter nicht mehr beziehen wollen, bitten wir um eine kurze Nachricht an den Absender.)

Bei Rückfragen steht Ihnen unser Händlerteam jederzeit gerne zur Verfügung.

Mit freundlichen Grüßen

Ihre

Advantag Services GmbH