Month: May 2019

Dear Sir or Madam,

The European elections have clearly shown that it is not advisable for established politicians to meet arrogance with young people who are well-founded worries about the future. Environmental and climate protection was therefore an important issue for the electorate, especially among the younger to mid-forties. The German CDU / CSU Union and especially the SPD suffered heavy losses, while the Greens won the election day. More than one in five Germans voted for the Greens with visibly increased turnout; in the voters until the middle of 20 even every third person. Whether the grand coalition in Germany will be continued until the end of the legislative period in view of these election results will be shown in the coming weeks. However, one thing should be clear – the issue of climate and environmental protection will not disappear again in the coming weeks and it would be very surprising if the losers of yesterday evening did not try to outdo each other with ideas to score points here.

Oil prices dropped sharply on Thursday, helped by significantly increased US crude oil inventories, which rose 4.7 million barrels last week. Regardless, CO2 emission rights prices rose again from the previous week, closing at just under 2%. This week there will be only one auction on EEX for 2.495.000 EUA on Tuesday, but this should already be priced in. Among other things, financial markets should be busy analyzing the outcome of the European elections in the coming days, which should also apply to the market for emission allowances.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)
Instrument	2019-05-17		2019-05-24	Change
EUA (Spotmarket)	24.94 EUR		25.42 EUR	+0.48 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)	25.00 EUR		25.47 EUR	+0.47 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)	0.22 EUR		0.21 EUR	-0.01 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	72.08 USD		68.41 USD	-3.67 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1.1157 USD		1.1204 USD	+0.0047 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Dear Sir or Madam,

US oil giant Exxon has been a denial of climate change for many years, floating on a wave with US President Donald Trump and other populists around the world. The company has repeatedly tried to sow doubts about whether climate change is caused by humans.

Exxon was well aware that climate change was caused by the use of fossil fuels like oil. As early as 1982, the Group itself produced forecasts that showed the evolution of the global average temperature in relation to the CO2 concentration in the air. This calculation was so precise that it predicted the CO2 concentration for 2019 at 420 ppm (Particles Per Million) and a warming of 0.9°C over pre-industrial times.

Currently, the CO2 content is already at 415 ppm and should be according to the study in the year 2050 at about 500 ppm, which would correspond to a global warming of 2°C. By 2080, the calculation would have reached 3°C at a concentration of 600 ppm CO2 in the atmosphere.

There are also politicians and parties in Europe who deny human-induced climate change, even though they have sufficient scientific evidence to prove the link between greenhouse gas emissions and global warming. Next Sunday is the European elections and one can only hope for future generations that there are enough intelligent voters who refuse to speak out to liars who speak of clean diesel and negate climate change.

CO2 emission allowances rose more sharply by the middle of the week last week, but eased slightly at the end of the trading week as the US-China trade dispute weighed on sentiment in the financial markets. A total of 15,235,000 emission allowances will be auctioned on EEX this week, including 112,500 EUAA for aviation. Next week, only 2,495,000 EUAs will be auctioned on Tuesday. Therefore, the demand for the auctions this week should be interesting.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)
Instrument	2019-05-10		2019-05-17	Change
EUA (Spotmarket)	25.54 EUR		24.94 EUR	-0.60 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)	25.62 EUR		25.00 EUR	-0.62 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)	0.22 EUR		0.22 EUR	+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	70.60 USD		72.08 USD	+1.48 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1.1233 USD		1.1157 USD	-0.0076 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Dear Sir or Madam,

Today and tomorrow, the 10th Petersberg Climate Dialogue will take place in Berlin, to which the German Federal Environment Minister Svenja Schulze has invited ministers from all over the world to discuss the implementation of the Paris Climate Change Agreement. The German Federal President Steinmeier will welcome the ministers at Schloss Bellevue, and German Chancellor Angela Merkel will also speak to representatives from 35 countries tomorrow.

At the previous World Climate Change Conference in Poland in 2018, the international community agreed on a common set of rules for the Paris Climate Agreement. Now it is about the topics of financing, implementation and improvement of national climate goals.

That a swift implementation is necessary is also shown by the report of the World Biodiversity Council, which was presented on Monday a week ago, which certifies that nature is in a miserable state. Up to one million species are threatened with extinction because valuable ecosystems are already damaged. Climate change, which is just as causally produced by humans, accelerates this problem and thus goes hand in hand with environmental pollution.

As a consequence of the report, the lifestyle and consumer behaviour of people in the industrialized nations in particular must change fundamentally, which also requires an immediate change to a sustainable economy. Too much time is not left here, because humanity otherwise threatens the deprivation of livelihoods in not too distant future.

The price of CO2 emissions rose again slightly last week. The expectations of many market participants that a major correction would take place after the strong increases in the previous weeks do not appear to be fulfilled yet. However, after a week high on Thursday of EUR 27.20, the EUA gave in on Friday again slightly and closed well below the 26-euro mark.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)
Instrument	2019-05-03		2019-05-10	Change
EUA (Spotmarket)	25.12 EUR		25.54 EUR	+0.42 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)	25.20 EUR		25.62 EUR	+0.42 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)	0.22 EUR		0.22 EUR	+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	71.06 USD		70.60 USD	-0.46 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1.1201 USD		1.1233 USD	+0.0032 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Dear Sir or Madam,

Also last week, discussions on further pricing of greenhouse gas emissions at national level in Germany continued, although it will probably take some time before a consensus will be reached that sufficiently addresses both the social and environmental aspects. Even within the governing parties, the leading party members disagree on how to do this. The fact that something has to happen in addition to the current emissions trading scheme is clear to most politicians in order to at least comply with the climate protection targets in 2030. Whether pricing with an additional tax in the transport and building sectors makes sense is doubted by various bodies. These see an expansion of the functioning emissions trading as an economically sensible solution. The only question is how quickly a European solution can be found here, because such a bill has to be brought in turn by all EU political bodies, which would take much longer than the adoption of a national law.

The prices of emission allowances in the context of the EU emissions trading have again slightly declined in the past week compared to the previous week, which was also to be expected after the strong increase in April.

Due to today’s British bank holiday no auctions take place today on the EEX. Nevertheless, on the remaining days of the week, a total of 12,627,500 EUA and 640,000 EUAA for aviation will be auctioned. In the coming week there will be a total of 10,694,000 EUA. In the last week of May, Christ’s Ascension and Spring Bank Holiday in the UK will offer reduced auction volume of just 2,495,000 CO2 allowances.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)
Instrument	2019-04-26	2019-05-03	Change
EUA (Spotmarket)	25.77 EUR	25.12 EUR	-0.64 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)	25.85 EUR	25.20 EUR	-0.65 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)	0.22 EUR	0.22 EUR	+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	71.59 USD	71.06 USD	-0.53 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1.1145 USD	1.1201 USD	+0.0056 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH