Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (31/07/2023)

Dear Madam or Sir,

The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) was already established 35 years ago and has since provided the governments of the world with the facts for science-based decisions in various status reports. But it was only in 2015 that these findings led to the Paris Agreement, which was adopted by all 195 countries and the European Union at that time and envisages limiting global warming to “well below” two degrees Celsius compared to pre-industrial times and making efforts to limit it to 1.5 degrees Celsius.

Last week, the IPCC has elected the British Jim Skea as its new president. The professor of sustainable energy at Imperial College in London has been involved in climate research for around 40 years and started his presidency with a bang. He said what many were already thinking when he declared that it was “absolutely certain” that the 1.5-degree target could no longer be achieved. But despite everything, something like a law of inertia seems to determine the actions or inactions of politics, economy, and private individuals.

The cost of this behaviour takes place not only in terms of human suffering, but also in financial terms. According to calculations by the reinsurer Munich Re, natural catastrophes caused global losses of $ 110 billion (EUR 99.26 billion) in the first half of 2023 only. Most of these losses must be paid by the affected people and companies themselves, since according to Munich Re only $ 43 billion of these losses were insured. And if you look at the situation in July, where hundreds of forest fires on the one hand as well as storm and flood catastrophes on the other dominate the news, it is easy to imagine what the total will be at the end of this year. The consequences of man-made climate change have long since become a significant economic factor, of which we are currently only feeling the fringes.

The European emissions trading system can be seen as a real guarantee of success for climate protection. This has seen quite a turbulent trading week. After the December contract had reached a five-week high of around EUR 93.50 on Wednesday, it subsequently retreated continuously until it found stable support at around EUR 88.50 on Friday afternoon.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument21/07/2328/07/23Change
EUA (Spot-Market)90.48 EUR87.75 EUR-2.73 EUR 
EUA (December-2023-Future)91.43 EUR88.68 EUR-2.75 EUR 
VER (Natural Carbon Offsets)2.41 USD1.93 USD-0.48 USD 
VER (CORSIA eligible Carbon Offsets)1.38 USD1.05 USD-0.33 USD 
nEZ (German National Carbon Units)30.00 EUR30.00 EUR+0.00 EUR 
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)80.81 USD84.80 USD+3.99 USD 
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1124 USD1.1015 USD-0.0109 USD 

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. The VER quotes are average rates (carboncredits.com), which can be used within the framework of CORSIA and voluntary carbon offsetting. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

ADVANTAG Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (24/07/2023)

Dear Madam or Sir,

The climate activists from “Fridays For Future” sent 101 more or less serious questions to the German FDP parliamentary group in Berlin last week. The main addressee, Christian Lindner, did not leave these questions unanswered. Of course, the 101st question was “How dare you?” and it also proves on the part of the activists that they have a sense of humor and don’t take themselves as seriously as the activists of the “last generation”.

The Liberals have formulated corresponding answers. Here they tried to explain to the climate activists that the mandatory CO2 emissions trading in Europe brings exactly the savings in greenhouse gases that are in line with the Paris climate protection agreement. We want to be open to technology here.

Ultimately, this is also the right way, because the climate does not care how mankind reduces the anthropogenic greenhouse gases, as long as it happens. Burning coal to respond to the energy supply risks of the Ukraine war, certainly not.

In the past week of trading, EU emissions allowances fought through resistance, gaining more than 6 percent on a weekly closing basis. EUAs rose above the EUR 90 mark on Thursday and have been trading well above it since then.

Only 9,913,500 EUAs will be auctioned at the European Energy Exchange this week due to the regular lack of the Polish auction this Wednesday. In the next week, August will start with the annual auction volume being halved and only 7,615,000 EUAs will be offered on all five trading days.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument14/07/2321/07/23Change
EUA (Spot-Market)85.05 EUR90.48 EUR+5.43 EUR 
EUA (December-2023-Future)86.04 EUR91.43 EUR+5.39 EUR 
VER (Natural Carbon Offsets)2.53 USD2.41 USD-0.12 USD 
VER (CORSIA eligible Carbon Offsets)1.22 USD1.38 USD+0.16 USD 
nEZ (German National Carbon Units)30.00 EUR30.00 EUR+0.00 EUR 
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)79.63 USD80.81 USD+1.30 USD 
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1213 USD1.1124 USD-0.0089 USD 

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. The VER quotes are average rates (carboncredits.com), which can be used within the framework of CORSIA and voluntary carbon offsetting. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

ADVANTAG Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (17/07/2023)

Dear Madam or Sir,

The European Commission will support a total of 41 major projects in Europe with the income from EU emissions trading, including seven projects from Germany.

Sustainable projects in the field of renewable energies, sustainable fuels and in the cement and steel industry are being funded with a total of 3.6 billion euros. All projects are to be implemented by 2030 and are expected to reduce more than 220 million tons of CO2 or its equivalent in other greenhouse gases.

The compliance market for European emission allowances was almost unchanged in the past trading week. In the December 23 benchmark contract, the EUAs remained stable above the important EUR 85 mark and ranged from EUR 85.06 to EUR 88.32.

This week, auctions will take place on all five trading days at the Leipzig EEX. A total of 12,589,500 EUAs will be offered for auction.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument07/07/2314/07/23Change
EUA (Spot-Market)85.18 EUR85.05 EUR-0.13 EUR 
EUA (December-2023-Future)86.16 EUR86.04 EUR-0.12 EUR 
VER (Natural Carbon Offsets)2.39 USD2.53 USD+0.14 USD 
VER (CORSIA eligible Carbon Offsets)1.59 USD1.22 USD-0.37 USD 
nEZ (German National Carbon Units)30.00 EUR30.00 EUR+0.00 EUR 
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)78.28 USD79.63 USD+1.35 USD 
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0968 USD1.1213 USD+0.0245 USD 

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. The VER quotes are average rates (carboncredits.com), which can be used within the framework of CORSIA and voluntary carbon offsetting. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

ADVANTAG Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (07/07/2023)

Dear Madam or Sir,

The German Federal Environment Agency published its annual report for 2022 last week. This showed that the emissions of the approx. 1,730 German plants that are subject to trading in the EU-ETS only fell minimally from 355 to 354 million tons of CO2 or its equivalent (CO2e). This was also hardly to be expected after energy production in particular had used significantly more coal-fired power, as there were fears of gas shortages due to the Ukraine war. As a result, emissions in the energy sector increased for the second year in a row, by three percentage points.

In the aviation sector, emissions rose by a significant 55% to almost 7.2 million tons of CO2 due to the decline in the corona pandemic. In industry, there was a decline of six percent to 112 million tons of CO2e. And Europe-wide, the systems covered by the EU ETS have only shown a minimal decrease to 1.32 billion tons of CO2e.

In the past week of trading, the prices in the mandatory EU emissions trading system were visibly struggling with the increased supply volume at the primary market auctions. Accordingly, the price failed to break out of a relatively strong sideways-below trendline, causing prices to decline 3.3% on a weekly closing basis.

In national German emissions trading, the government has now agreed to raise the price per national emissions certificate (nEZ) next year to EUR 45.00 per nEZ from the current EUR 30.00, as originally planned when the Fuel Emissions Trading Act (BEHG) came into force. In the first amendment last year, the price for 2023 was reduced by five euros to EUR 30.00; In 2024 it should be EUR 35.00 based on the change.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument30/06/2307/07/23Change
EUA (Spot-Market)88.09 EUR85.18 EUR-2.91 EUR 
EUA (December-2023-Future)89.08 EUR86.16 EUR-2.92 EUR 
VER (Natural Carbon Offsets)2.01 USD2.39 USD+0.38 USD 
VER (CORSIA eligible Carbon Offsets)1.15 USD1.59 USD+0.44 USD 
nEZ (German National Carbon Units)30.00 EUR30.00 EUR+0.00 EUR 
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)75.13 USD78.28 USD+3.15 USD 
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0912 USD1.0968 USD+0.0056 USD 

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. The VER quotes are average rates (carboncredits.com), which can be used within the framework of CORSIA and voluntary carbon offsetting. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

ADVANTAG Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (03/07/2023)

Dear Madam or Sir,

Multnomah County is located in the US state of Oregon in the northwest of the United States of America. The county has now filed a lawsuit against a total of 17 oil and gas companies, including BP, Chevron, Exxon Mobil, and Shell.

Herein, Multnomah County is seeking $51.5 billion in damages for the deadly 2021 Pacific Northwest heatwave, which claimed approximately 800 lives. The county believes, these companies are responsible for the heat dome event because of their contribution to global warming.

The lawsuit seeks $50 million for actual damage from the heatwave and $1.5 billion for future damage. In addition, the plaintiffs are seeking an additional $50 billion for a fund to prepare for future extreme weather events.

This lawsuit marks the 36th time oil and gas companies have been sued for causing harm, according to plaintiffs, from global warming.

But Big-Oil is currently still assuming that it will continue to produce around 100 million barrels a day in 2050, as Exxon Mobile reported in a report to the US Securities and Exchange Commission. According to calculations by the International Energy Agency (IEA), however, production must fall to less than 30 million barrels per day to limit global warming to 1.5°C compared to the pre-industrial age in accordance with the Paris climate protection agreement.

Global emissions trading makes an important contribution here, which gives the control effect in the direction of climate-friendly transport and heating systems – and carbon pricing will play an increasingly important role in the future.

In the past week, the prices for EU carbon emission allowances have slowly worked their way up a resistance line but have not been able to sustainably break through this technical sideways downline.

The new EEX auction calendar has been in effect since this week for the first time and a total of 12,589,500 EUAs are auctioned on all five trading days. It will be interesting to see how the market absorbs the higher volume this week, although most of it should already be priced in.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument23/06/2330/06/23Change
EUA (Spot-Market)86.81 EUR88.09 EUR+1.28 EUR 
EUA (December-2023-Future)87.88 EUR89.08 EUR+1.20 EUR 
VER (Natural Carbon Offsets)1.64 USD2.01 USD+0.37 USD 
VER (CORSIA eligible Carbon Offsets)1.04 USD1.15 USD+0.11 USD 
nEZ (German National Carbon Units)30.00 EUR30.00 EUR+0.00 EUR 
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)74.21 USD75.13 USD+0.92 USD 
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0893 USD1.0912 USD+0.0019 USD 

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. The VER quotes are average rates (carboncredits.com), which can be used within the framework of CORSIA and voluntary carbon offsetting. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

ADVANTAG Services GmbH