Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2019-03-25)

Dear Sir or Madam,

In Germany, the polarizing protests of #FridaysforFuture seem to be successful at the political level, because the Federal Government has formed a Cabinet Committee under the leadership of Federal Environment Minister Svenja Schulze, which is to investigate how greenhouse gas emissions in the various sectors of the economy should be reduced. Other Cabinet members include Chancellor Merkel, Minister of Economics Altmaier, Minister of Transport Scheuer and Minister of Finance Scholz.

Head of Cabinet Schulze had already submitted the draft of a German Climate Protection Act five weeks ago, which aims to ensure compliance with the German commitment to the Paris Agreement on Climate Change and provides savings targets for all sectors. As expected, this led to criticism from the CDU and CSU coalition partners.

Among other things, the bill aims to achieve significant CO2 savings by energy sector of currently more than 300 million tons by 2017, to 175 million tons by 2030, industry and buildings to save 40 million tons, and agriculture 10 million tons of CO2 or its equivalents in other greenhouse gases such as for example, methane, which accounts for more than 60% of agriculture, or nitrous oxide, which accounts for 80% of this sector.

Federal Transport Minister Scheuer will this week explain how he intends to reduce CO2 emissions in the transport sector by 40-42% compared to 1990, after he rejects a general speed limit of 120 or 130 km / h on the highways and still remains many German car buyers of heavy SUVs and other cars with high fossil fuel consumption.

Due to the Polish auction of 4,428,500 EUA held on Wednesday at the EEX in Leipzig, a total of 15,122,500 EUAs will be launched this week. After losing 8% last week, it will be interesting to see how strong the auction demand will be and if prices can hold above the € 20 mark on week-end closing prices.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2019-03-15 2019-03-22 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 22.36 EUR 20.52 EUR -1.84 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 22.47 EUR 20.67 EUR -1.80 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.22 EUR 0.22 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 67.03 USD 66.40 USD -0.63 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1324 USD 1.1300 USD -0.0024 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2019-03-18)

Dear Sir or Madam,

Thirty months ago, student Greta Thunberg started striking in front of the Swedish Parliament building on Fridays instead of going to school. With that, she got exactly the attention she would not have got, for example, if she had held up her poster on Saturday afternoon. Last Friday, the resulting children and youth movement #fridaysforfuture reached its peak. More than 1.5 million children and students took to the streets at 2,083 places in 125 countries during their school years, so that politicians implement the Paris Agreement on Climate Change, enabling global warming of no more than 1.5 ° C compared to pre-industrial times.

In our fast-moving time, in which everyone can give thoughtful or even thoughtless comments on all sorts of things that spread via social media also correspondingly fast in their respective filter bubbles, the polarizing topic shows in its full range. With 23,000 scientists behind the movement, new German leader Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer of the conservative CDU said she would not apologize to her children if they accompanied the school strike. Liberal FDP leader Lindner is also of the opinion that the children belong to the school and the climate policy is to be left exactly to the professionals, which caused the problem according to the opinion of the climate activists only by omission.

In any case, Greta Thunberg and her colleagues have already achieved that the issue of climate protection is discussed socially on a broad basis; that children talk to their parents about it and possibly question their own consumer behavior and, ideally, make it more sustainable. The coming months will show whether the social debate continues and whether Fridays for Future will continue to maintain or expand its gravity. The very fact that children and adolescents are politically involved and socially involved, even with the means of civil disobedience, is definitely welcome.

Emissions trading in Europe, which is currently the most important climate policy tool of choice for reaching the CO2 reduction targets, will reach the mark of 30 euros per ton or EUA in the second half of 2019, according to analysts of various companies. However, over the past trading week, ongoing uncertainty surrounding Brexit caused the price to drop a whopping 2%, ending the trading week at 22.36 euros in the spot market. This topic will certainly keep the market busy until there is ultimate clarity on the way and timing of the exit.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2019-03-08 2019-03-15 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 22.88 EUR 22.36 EUR -0.52 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 23.02 EUR 22.47 EUR -0.55 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.22 EUR 0.22 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 65.82 USD 67.03 USD +1.21 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1233 USD 1.1324 USD +0.0191 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2019-03-11)

Dear Sir or Madam,

According to a report by the German Institute for Economic Research (DIW), the expansion of German renewable energies by 2030 will not be enough to reach the German target of a 65% renewable electricity supply. Due to the elimination of older plants and the under-construction of new wind and solar power plants, only 55% are expected to be reached according to the DIW report.

To reach the 65-percent target for Germany, the DIW researchers believe that 4,400 megawatts of photovoltaic power plants and 4,300 megawatts of wind power plants on land should be built each year. Should the total wind offshore capacity be increased to between 20,000 and 35,000 megawatts, the green electricity share could even increase to 85 percent by 2030.

In the past trading week, prices for European CO2 emission allowances ranged between EUR 21.88 and EUR 23.54. At the end of the trading week, they closed with a gain of just over 3% over the previous week.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2019-03-01 2019-03-08 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 22.18 EUR 22.88 EUR +0.70 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 22.28 EUR 23.02 EUR +0.74 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.23 EUR 0.22 EUR -0.01 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 64.99 USD 65.82 USD +0.83 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1364 USD 1.1233 USD -0.0131 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2019-03-05)

Dear Sir or Madam,

Three renowned researchers from the University of California, Professor Yangyang Xu, Professor Veerabhadran Ramanathan and Professor David G. Victor, have published an article in the journal Nature, which shows that the short – term consequences of climate change in particular are massively underestimated and that the Global warming is much faster than expected. They list three chains of evidence. First, in 2017 alone, CO2 emissions of 37 gigatonnes per year were estimated, leading to a global temperature increase of 0.25 to 0.32 ° C per decade over the next 25 years. On the other hand, the accelerated reduction of air pollution will help to warm the climate faster, as they can no longer reflect the sunlight. Furthermore, they see signs that the earth is approaching a natural warming phase that could last for several decades. These three effects reinforce each other and could lead to a warming of 1.5 ° C already in 2030. 2045 could already fall the 2 ° C mark. The scientists are therefore calling for new climate change priorities as well as strategies to adapt to their consequences.

CO2 allowances rebounded strong last week, after plunging sharply the week before. With an increase of 18%, they closed above the 22-euro mark in the last trading week. Also on Monday they continued the rally and left the mark of 23 euros behind. For the time being there is a major technical resistance in the area of 23.50 which needs to be overcome in order to remain bullish.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2019-02-22 2019-03-01 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 18.80 EUR 22.18 EUR +3.38 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 18.94 EUR 22.28 EUR +3.34 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.23 EUR 0.23 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 67.13 USD 64.99 USD -2.14 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1338 USD 1.1364 USD +0.0026 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH