Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (11/05/2020)

Dear Madam or Sir,

Hardly anyone is happy about the restrictions that came with the onset of the Corona crisis. The majority of people are happy about the easing that has been announced in the past few days. That is understandable. The problem with this is that the danger, which appears more and more people very abstract, can trigger a second wave of infection, which in turn requires significantly stronger restrictions. Germany in particular has done a lot right in the past few weeks, as can be seen from the mortality rate and the occupancy of the intensive care beds. But now there is a risk that this advantage will be jeopardized, which poses significant economic and social risks. From the point of view of many scientists, a further two or three weeks with increased lockdown would have been necessary to bring the number of cases to below 300 per day, which would make it much easier to track infection chains.

Now, the number of cases per 100,000 citizens in cities and counties should decide whether easing the situation or allowing it to be withdrawn. There are currently four counties above the existing limit of 50, but more are just around the corner. In some counties, this could lead to more optimistic figures in order to secure jobs.

Regardless of this, there are people who adhere to the corona crisis as a conspiracy with truly crude theories. Most of them are also those who ignore anthropogenic climate change. It repeatedly shows clearly that both the global context and the simple logic of cause and effect are too complex for some people to be able to classify them correctly.

It is to be hoped that the majority of people will continue to abide by the hygiene rules so that a second wave does not require further restrictions, or only to a small extent, in order to keep the further economic damage and costs as low as possible , because only that can save jobs and prosperity.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument01/05/202008/05/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)18.90 EUR19.27 EUR+0.37 EUR
EUA (December-2020-Future)18.97 EUR19.35 EUR+0.38 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.32 EUR0.32 EUR+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)26.52 USD30.96 USD+4.44 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0978 USD1.0836 USD-0.0142 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (04/05/2020)

Dear Madam or Sir,

In the period of the hard lockdown between March 23 and April 19, 2020, electricity consumption on working days in Germany was 7.5 percent lower on average than on comparable days before, according to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW); up to 13 percent in the week after Easter. After the partial easing, electricity consumption increased slightly again, but is still approximately 6.6 percent lower. On weekends, when the industry in particular produces less, the deviation is minimal.

However, the declines in Spain and Italy are far more significant. Austria’s example shows that the recent easing measures do not bring about a large increase; here the electricity consumption is approx. 11% below the normal average.

At the end of the submission deadline for the past year, the prices for CO2 emission allowances also fell by around 10% compared to the previous week’s closing time and fell below the 19 euro mark. This morning, however, there were slight price gains again, but there will be many industries in the coming weeks that will remain hesitant to buy during the year due to the uncertainties regarding the Corona crisis.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument24/04/202001/05/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)21.01 EUR18.90 EUR-2.11 EUR
EUA (December-2020-Future)21.05 EUR18.97 EUR-2.08 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.33 EUR0.32 EUR-0.01 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)21.86 USD26.52 USD+4.66 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0819 USD1.0978 USD+0.0159 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (27/04/2020)

Dear Sirs and Madames,

Today the Petersberg climate dialogue begins, in which international measures to combat global warming are negotiated. As a novelty, this conference is taking place virtually for the first time, which is not least more conducive to the climate than if ministers from 30 nations travel by plane.

However, due to the global corona pandemic, the focus this year has shifted to sustainable crisis management, and the world should emerge from the crisis in a more crisis-proof and climate-friendly manner. Crisis as an opportunity, so to speak.

The President this year is the British Minister for the Economy and Energy, Alok Sharma. He sees the opportunity for a green and crisis-proof restart to meet the commitments of the Paris climate protection agreement. Here, a “green recovery” is desirable, which can be achieved, among other things, by target-oriented economic stimulus programs.

German Chancellor Angela Merkel will also give a speech on Tuesday, which is eagerly awaited due to her global political influence.

It would be a tragedy if the world did not use this phase of the global crisis to seize the unique opportunity to make itself more environmentally friendly and sustainable. In coping with the corona pandemic, almost all state leaders ultimately show that they can govern responsibly.

In the past trading week, the prices for CO2 emission certificates were stable despite the oil crisis and decoupled from the events on the energy markets. While oil warehouses around the world are full and demand will not increase significantly in the foreseeable future, the prices for European permit rights EUA remain in the range of around 21 euros in the last week before the deadline for 2019 significantly influenced, will be visible at the beginning of the next trading week at the latest.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument17/04/202017/04/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)21.66 EUR21.01 EUR-0.65 EUR
EUA (December-2020-Future)21.70 EUR21.05 EUR-0.65 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.31 EUR0.31 EUR+0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)28.25 USD21.86 USD-6.39 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0871 USD1.0819 USD-0.0052 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (20/04/2020)

Dear Madam or Sir,

The sky over northern Europe is a brilliant blue – a message that not only spreads good humour. In Germany, for example, the stable weather conditions this month caused temperatures to be significantly too high and a pronounced drought. On a long-term average, April is already 1.7 degrees too warm and a change in the situation is predicted by meteorologists for May at the earliest. In terms of the usual amount of precipitation, April has so far only met just under 3 percent of its target. These are alarming messages for agriculture and forestry.

This is a continuation of the problematic weather situations which scientists clearly attribute to global climate change. It is therefore extremely important that in its fight against the corona pandemic, politicians do not neglect the fight to achieve the climate targets. In fact, the first voices have already been heard that would like to see efforts to reduce CO2 emissions weakened by the crisis.

A look at the oil price shows that the decision of the oil-producing countries has had no lasting impact on the market situation. The planned reductions in production volumes are obviously not sufficient to compensate for the imbalance between supply and demand. Thus, after a brief recovery, the oil price is once again in the region of its 20-year low.

The price of CO2 emission certificates was also impressed by this last week and initially lost significantly in the middle of the week. In the second half of the week, however, buyers showed great favour and pulled the price up rapidly. At the start of the new trading week and with the deadline for compliance in mind, the price is currently above the 21-euro mark.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument09/04/202017/04/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)21,03 EUR21.66 EUR+0.63 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)21,08 EUR21.70 EUR+0.62 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0,31 EUR0.31 EUR+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)31,77 USD28.25 USD-3.52 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1,0923 USD1.0871 USD-0.0052 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (13/04/2020)

Dear Madam or Sir,

In the past year, the specific emission factor for the generation of one kilowatt hour of electricity in the average German electricity mix fell to 401 grams, which is 38% less than in the reference year 1990 and 14% less than in 2018. According to preliminary figures, the number for electricity generation in 2019 was 219 millions of tons of CO2 emitted, compared to 269 million tons in the previous year, and in 1990 electricity generation still caused 366 million tons of CO2.

Due to the slump in the global economy caused by the Corona virus, there is currently a significant oversupply of oil, which is why the oil cartel OPEC and its partners have agreed to cut production by 9.7 million barrels a day in May and June ( 159 liters) to be decided. This is intended to stabilize the price, which again suffered significantly in the past week.

Regardless, prices for greenhouse gas emissions have visibly recovered by more than 17% in the past shortened trading week. In addition to the realization that the market stability reserve will intercept a feared surplus of allowances in contrast to the previous economic and financial crisis, there is now also the fact that the obligated companies have to fulfill their compliance duty to pay for the previous year by the end of the month. So if one speculated on further falling prices, would be now deceived.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument03/04/202009/04/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)17.86 EUR21,03 EUR+3.17 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)18.06 EUR21,08 EUR+3.02 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.31 EUR0,31 EUR+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)34.95 USD31,77 USD-3.18 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0802 USD1,0923 USD+0.0121 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH