Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (10/05/2021)

Dear Sir or Madam,

Last week, too, climate protection had a high priority in Germany’s political landscape. After the groundbreaking ruling by the Federal Constitutional Court the week before, politicians in the election year 2021 have now recognized that the issue can no longer be overlooked. New legislative proposals were promptly made, with the 11th Petersberg Climate Dialogue, which this year took place virtually in an environmentally friendly manner, also provided a corresponding stage on which ministers from 40 countries met. Chancellor Angela Merkel, British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and UN Secretary General Antonio Guterres also attended the meeting.

It ended on Friday with the call to make this year’s world climate conference COP 26 in Glasgow a success and to finally resolve all open points of the regulations under the Paris Agreement.

Federal Chancellor Dr. Angela Merkel stated that Germany should tighten its climate target for 2030 to a CO2 reduction of 65 percent and achieve greenhouse gas neutrality in 2045, which emerges from the draft for a new climate protection law, the key points of which the German Federal Environment Minister Schulze had presented shortly before. Merkel particularly emphasized that she sees global pricing of greenhouse gas emissions as an important step in the fight against climate change. And the host Boris Johnson sees climate protection as a kick start for a new industrial revolution; Great Britain has also tightened its climate targets significantly.

Ultimately, that will mean that greenhouse gas emission prices could hit triple digits in the not too distant future. European Commission Vice President Frans Timmermans on Friday downplayed the prospect that regulators might intervene on the bullish price of European emission allowances, saying that EUAs should trade even higher amid the bloc’s stricter emissions target for 2030.

This got the bulls going again and set a new all-time high at EUR 51.10 per EUA on the last trading day of the week, ignoring the fact that the 2020 compliance period ended on the Friday of the previous week. And the new trading week also begins with a significant plus above the 51 Euro mark.

Since the political will as well as the speculators and the market dynamics are difficult to predict, a solid procurement strategy for the coming years definitely makes sense in order to mitigate the blatant price fluctuation risks.

We would be happy to advise you on this and coordinate an appropriate procurement strategy with you.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument23/04/202123/04/2021Change
EUA (Spot-Market)48.75 EUR50.45 EUR+1.70 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)48,84 EUR50.45 EUR+1.61 EUR
CER (Voluntary Spot-Market ø)1.87 USD1.87 USD+0.00 EUR
VER (Gold Standard Spotmarkt ø)13,71 USD13.71 USD+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)66.62 USD68.21 USD+1.59 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.2018 USD1.2163 USD+0.0145 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs and VERs are average prices in the voluntary carbon offsetting market. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (03/05/2021)

Dear Sir or Madam,

April 29, 2021 has the potential to go down in history, because for the first time the German Federal Constitutional Court granted the complaints of the young climate protection activists and thus passed an unexpected judgment.

The core of the judgment is that legislative measures for climate protection after 2030 must be regulated in order not to unnecessarily hinder the freedom and life of young people and the following generations in the future. The highest German court has set a deadline for this at the end of next year.

By 2030, Germany is already obliged to reduce greenhouse gas reductions by 55% compared to 1990 and corresponding measures have already been introduced, such as national emissions trading since the beginning of this year, which now also prices emissions from the transport and building sectors.

But this decision will not only point the way for the period after 2030, it will also place a special focus on climate protection in the near future.

In addition, this judgment has fundamentally called into question, which will lead to a serious loss of freedom for today’s children and young people in the future.

Does today’s generation of financially better off adults have the right to drive on the autobahn in a completely oversized car with a combustion engine and a speed of 250 and accept particularly high CO2 emissions in the process? Does we now have the right to travel several times a year by plane and do today’s adults not have to put up with the question of why they allow such exorbitant meat consumption, even though factory farming is one of the largest emitters of greenhouse gases?

The judgment of the Federal Constitutional Court made this clear. In the future, this freedom can be forfeited to protect the climate and future generations, as the foundations of life for future generations must be handled carefully. These livelihoods are to be left to posterity in a state that does not expect children of today and future generations to maintain conditions worth living in on this planet just at the price of radical abstinence.

The young plaintiffs won by convincing the court that our current lifestyle with factory farming, the consumption of unsustainable products and the burning of fossil fuels acutely endangers a future worth living for these children and adolescents.

It would therefore be more than astonishing if the pricing of greenhouse gas emissions did not affect other sectors in the future.

The deadline for submitting carbon emission allowances for 2020 ended last Friday, which was also the last year of the third trading period of the European emissions trading system ETS, which began in 2013.

At 49.41 Euros, the price for one ton of CO2 emissions reached a new all-time high on Friday and closed with a weekly plus of 4% at 48.75 euros on the spot market.

But anyone who thought the rally would be over by the end of the submission period is mistaken this morning, as the market is working its way towards the 50 Euro mark. It remains to be seen whether this will lead to profit-taking and a consolidation of the course.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument16/04/202123/04/2021Change
EUA (Spot-Market)44.42 EUR46.90 EUR+2.48 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)44,33 EUR46.95 EUR+2.62 EUR
CER (Spot-Market)0.62 EUR0.63 EUR+0.01 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)66.69 USD66.05 USD-0.64 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1980 USD1.2097 USD+0.0117 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs CP2 are eligible in ETS until end of April 2021 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (26/04/2021)

Dear Sir or Madam,

The past week can rightly go down in the history books as historic with regards to global climate protection.

Business leaders who have previously classified climate protection as a nuisance and unnecessary matter will in future have the same fate as fossil fuels.

Last Wednesday, the decision-makers of the European Union manifested the reduction target of 55% greenhouse gas reductions compared to 1990 and thus described the roadmap for the next 30 years.

In 2030, the EU should not emit more than 255 million tons of CO2 or its equivalent in other greenhouse gases.

In addition to the ambitious 2030 reduction target, the European Commission is also to set a further interim target in 2040 by 2024. The goal of reducing CO2 emissions by 95% in 2050 could also give way to a net-zero strategy in the future.

As if that hadn’t already been enough for a very good week for climate protection, US President Joe Biden announced at the end of last week at the virtual climate protection meeting he had called that the USA, as the second largest greenhouse gas emitter, should become climate neutral by the middle of the century.

UN Secretary General António Guterres also demanded that fossil fuels should be phased out by 2030 and that CO2 should be priced worldwide, and China’s head of state Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin also showed their willingness to cooperate. If the foundation stone for an ambitious joint action against global warming has been laid here, April 2021 may be the time that sealed decarbonization.

One week before the end of the submission deadline for companies subject to EU emissions trading, our predictions were fulfilled and the price for European Allowances (EUA) reached a new all-time high of EUR 47.36 per ton of CO2.

Anyone who has speculated that the certificates will give way again is now mistaken and has to pay a significantly higher price to meet his tax obligation; the prices rose again a good 6% compared to the previous week.

Whether and when the speculators will begin to take profits cannot be precisely predicted, but the stock market is not a one-way street and speculators also tend to liquidate parts of their positions at a profit. The coming trading days will therefore remain exciting.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument16/04/202123/04/2021Change
EUA (Spot-Market)44.42 EUR46.90 EUR+2.48 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)44,33 EUR46.95 EUR+2.62 EUR
CER (Spot-Market)0.62 EUR0.63 EUR+0.01 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)66.69 USD66.05 USD-0.64 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1980 USD1.2097 USD+0.0117 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs CP2 are eligible in ETS until end of April 2021 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (19/04/2021)

Dear Sir or Madam,

Due to Brexit, Great Britain has also left the European emissions trading system EU ETS and has developed its own emissions trading system based on the model of the EU ETS.

In order to achieve a more efficient reduction in pan-European greenhouse gas emissions, more than 40 industrial associations from Great Britain and the EU have now asked British Prime Minister Boris Johnson and the President of the European Commission, Ursula von der Leyen, to link the EU emissions trading system with the British emissions trading system.

In addition, in addition to fair competitive conditions, better market liquidity in both trading systems is to be ensured.

The European emissions trading system has been linked to the Swiss emissions trading system since last year.

In the last week of trading, the prices for EU emission allowances set a new all-time high of 44.90 in the benchmark futures contract December 2021, and in the spot market the prices for buyers were in some cases already above the 45 Euro mark.

This week, on all five working days, a total of 15.091.500 EUAs from the contingents of the EU, Poland and Germany will be auctioned at the Leipzig EEX.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument09/04/202116/04/2021Change
EUA (Spot-Market)43.56 EUR44.42 EUR+0.86 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)43,64 EUR44.33 EUR+0.69 EUR
CER (Spot-Market)0.60 EUR0.62 EUR+0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)63.02 USD66.69 USD+3.67 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1900 USD1.1980 USD+0.0080 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (12/04/2021)

Dear Sir or Madam,

In January of this year, national emissions trading started in Germany to give the transport and real estate sector a price for CO2 emissions.

The figures show that this is necessary: ​​more than 2.2 billion tons of CO2 emissions are caused annually in these two sectors, which is around 50% more than in the sectors covered by European emissions trading system EU ETS.

For this reason, the European Commission is now examining the possibility of including these two sectors in the EU emissions trading scheme. In order to stay in line with the EU’s 2050 emission reduction targets for these sectors, a price of EUR 250.00 per ton would be required, as experts from the information service provider ICIS published last week.

There are currently several options for EU-wide pricing of these sectors up for debate; Among other things, a separate European cap-and-trade mechanism, which is initially decoupled from the existing EU ETS, or a step-by-step system with a specified price corridor, as in Germany, where pricing this year starts at 25 euros per ton and a price range of 55 euros from 2026 -65 euros per ton.

Whichever regulation the EU chooses – there are increasing signs that greenhouse gas emissions from fossil fuels and fuels will be priced across Europe in the not too distant future.

The prices for CO2 emissions in the sectors already covered, such as power generation, intra-European flights and heavy industry, continued to develop bullish over the past week. On Tuesday, the December benchmark contract reached a new all-time high of EUR 44.35 per EUA, even if the rest of the week was a little weaker.

It would be astonishing if the prices fell significantly before the end of the submission period in the trading week after next.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument01/04/202109/04/2021Change
EUA (Spot-Market)42.43 EUR43.56 EUR+1.13 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)42,47 EUR43.64 EUR+1.17 EUR
CER (Spot-Market)0.63 EUR0.60 EUR-0.03 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)64.64 USD63.02 USD-1.62 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1815 USD1.1900 USD+0.0085 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH