Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (09/05/2022)

Dear Madam or Sir,

Yesterday the G7 countries agreed to stop importing Russian oil. The oil embargo is intended to deprive Russia of an important source of income for financing the war against Ukraine. The G7 includes the USA, Great Britain, France, Canada, Italy, Japan and Germany, which has held the presidency since the beginning of the year.

The European Union is also planning an oil embargo, but has yet to come to an agreement with the member states, which are currently strong dependent on imports of Russian oil. As of August 10, the EU has already placed an embargo on coal imports from Russia.

However, coal is also an important reason why the prices for EU emission allowances have recently broken through the 90 euro mark again and are showing a plus of 8.4% week-on-week.

Due to the high oil and gas prices and the planned phase-out of Russian fossil fuel imports, a greater use of coal for energy production is expected, especially since Germany intends to stick to its nuclear phase-out at the end of the year. Since coal has the worst climate balance in energy production, the energy producers will emit correspondingly more CO2 and therefore have a higher need for emission rights.

Coal produces 0.36 kg of CO2 per kWh of electricity, while natural gas produces 0.22 kg. Accordingly, producers have to buy 64% more allowances than if they used gas to generate electricity.

One can only hope that this will drive the further expansion of renewable energies in the EU, since Germany alone will produce a further 1,989 million tons of CO2 in the 2038 phase-out scenario from coal-fired power generation.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument29/04/2206/05/22Change
EUA (Spot-Market)84.87 EUR91.36 EUR+6.49 EUR
EUA (December-2022-Future)84.45 EUR91.54 EUR+7.09 EUR
VCU (Voluntary Carbon Units ø)10.63 USD10.74 USD+0.11 USD
VER (Gold Standard Spotmarkt ø)5.63 USD5.64 USD+0.01 USD
nEZ (German National Carbon Units)30.00 EUR30.00 EUR+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)106.55 USD112.81 USD+6.26 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0545 USD1.0534 USD-0.0011 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. The VER quotes are average rates (carboncredits.com), which can be used within the framework of CORSIA and voluntary carbon offsetting. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (02/05/222)

Dear Madam or Sir,

Last Friday, the 69th Federal Press Ball took place in Berlin. However, many prominent politicians, above all German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier and the members of the cabinet, had cancelled because of the war. It was not only for this reason that the speech by Ukrainian Ambassador Andrij Melnyk, known for his clear words, attracted much attention. Among other things, the ambassador warned the numerous representatives of the press not to slacken their attention as the war continues. It is not uncommon for topics to disappear from the focus of journalists and thus from the public eye over time.

Unfortunately, this also applies to other crises and conflicts, not least the climate crisis, which poses an existential threat to all countries in the world. For example, one of the worst weather disasters in South Africa, with well over 400 deaths and probably 40,000 people displaced by the floods, received only brief attention. Another example is currently taking place in South Asia. In India, millions of inhabitants are currently suffering from an early heat wave with temperatures sometimes exceeding 45 degrees Celsius. Northwest and central India are experiencing the hottest April since weather records began 122 years ago, the head of the weather service said. At more than two dozen places, the agency reported maximum temperatures of more than 45 degrees on Friday, with Banda in the northern state of Pradesh the hottest place in the country at 47.4 degrees. And the heat wave could intensify in the coming days, with temperatures crossing the 50-degree Celsius mark in the north, as May is usually the hottest month of the year.

It would be a fatal mistake to pay attention to such disasters only when they happen right on our doorstep or when we ourselves are affected by them. Because in fact we are all affected by them. The next environmental disaster can happen at any time and anywhere. We should therefore not ignore it, but make it the basis of our actions and decisions.

The market for European pollution rights fell quite significantly in the past trading week. On Wednesday, it even briefly broke through the 80-euro mark. The price then stabilised slightly above this level before moving up again on Friday in thin trading, narrowly missing the target of 86 euros.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument22/04/2229/04/22Change
EUA (Spot-Market)89.59 EUR84.87 EUR-4.72 EUR
EUA (December-2022-Future)88.99 EUR84.45 EUR-4.54 EUR
VCU (Voluntary Carbon Units ø)10.91 USD10.63 USD-0.28 USD
VER (Gold Standard Spotmarkt ø)5.91 USD5.63 USD-0.28 USD
nEZ (German National Carbon Units)30.00 EUR30.00 EUR+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)105.91 USD106.55 USD+0.64 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0799 USD1.0545 USD-0.0254 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. The VER quotes are average rates (carboncredits.com), which can be used within the framework of CORSIA and voluntary carbon offsetting. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Carbon Market News (25/04/2022)

Dear Madam or Sir,

The submission deadline for the compliance year 2021 in the mandatory European emissions trading system EU ETS ends at the end of this week.

As was often the case in previous years, there was a small rally, which was triggered last Wednesday by the news that the Energy Committee of the European Parliament largely supports the EU Commission’s proposal for a reform of EU emissions trading in order to achieve the agreed reduction in greenhouse gases 55% to implement 2030. The main negotiations on the reform should begin in June at the latest.

Added to this were last-minute buyers who had probably been waiting for even cheaper prices and the breakthrough of the 80-euro mark, which then resulted in a price increase of more than 9%.

On a weekly closing basis, the spot market closed even higher than the December-22-Future due to the deadline, posting a weekly gain of more than 12%.

After only 6,957,000 EUA were auctioned last week, there are almost twice as many emission certificates in the new trading week with 12,786,000 on all five trading days.

Due to the pending end of the submission period this Friday and the closing price of just under the 90-euro-mark, the price should not offer any particularly favourable buying opportunities, at least in the coming days, despite the higher auction volume.

In the next week, developments in the war in Ukraine should again be one of the dominant topics on the market.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument15/04/2222/04/22Change
EUA (Spot-Market)79.88 EUR89.59 EUR+9.71 EUR
EUA (December-2022-Future)79.97 EUR88.99 EUR+9.02 EUR
VCU (Voluntary Carbon Units ø)11.53 USD10.91 USD-0.62 USD
VER (Gold Standard Spotmarkt ø)6.06 USD5.91 USD-0.15 USD
nEZ (German National Carbon Units)30.00 EUR30.00 EUR+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)111.41 USD105.91 USD-5.50 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0810 USD1.0799 USD-0.0011 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. The VER quotes are average rates (carboncredits.com), which can be used within the framework of CORSIA and voluntary carbon offsetting. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (19/04/2022)

Dear Madam or Sir,

The ongoing war between Russia and Ukraine with no sign of a truce is currently driving oil supply fears as demand is expected to pick up as the holiday season approaches in Europe and North America.

In addition, Russian production fell by 7.5% in the first half of April compared to March, and EU governments have already announced that they are preparing proposals to end Russian crude oil imports.

Even though China refined oil 2% less in March than a year earlier, on slowing economic growth and concerns over further corona measures in China, bulls have held the upper hand in the oil market and Brent crude prices in comparison increase by almost nine percent compared to the previous week.

The prices for European carbon emission allowances, on the other hand, were unaffected by this and closed just below the EUR 80 mark almost unchanged, continuing the sideways movement that has been ongoing since mid-March.

In this trading week, due to Easter Monday, a total of 6,957,000 EUA will be auctioned at the Leipzig EEX on just three trading days.

This and the approaching deadline at the end of next week could push prices back above the 80s level barring any clearly bearish news.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument08/04/2215/04/22Change
EUA (Spot-Market)80.15 EUR79.88 EUR-0.27 EUR
EUA (December-2022-Future)80.09 EUR79.97 EUR-0.12 EUR
VCU (Voluntary Carbon Units ø)11.45 USD11.53 USD+0.08 USD
VER (Gold Standard Spotmarkt ø)5.98 USD6.06 USD+0.07 USD
nEZ (German National Carbon Units)30.00 EUR30.00 EUR+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)102.27 USD111.41 USD+9.14 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.0875 USD1.0810 USD-0.0065 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. The VER quotes are average rates (carboncredits.com), which can be used within the framework of CORSIA and voluntary carbon offsetting. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (11/04/2022)

Dear Madam or Sir,

The terrible war in Ukraine and the still omnipresent corona pandemic dominates the news, leaving little time for other topics. That is why we are pointing out the climate crisis in particular today, which will continue to develop in the direction of a catastrophe if we do not see Corona and the war in Ukraine and the associated problems with the supply of fossil fuels as an opportunity to immediately set the course towards to decarbonize the world.

From the beginning of industrialization to 2019, humanity released a total of 2,400 gigatonnes of greenhouse gases. In the period from 1850 to 1989, i.e. within 140 years, there were 1,400 gigatonnes of CO2e, i.e. 58% of the total emissions. Over the last three decades from 1990 to 2019, we released the remaining 1,000 gigatonnes of CO2e into the atmosphere. And the last decade sets another, sad record – in the period 2009-2019 it was 410 gigatonnes of CO2e, which is 17% of the emissions between 1850 and 2019.

Last week, the German federal government decided on the course for the reassignment of CO2 pricing in the building sector, which is now to begin in 2023. So far, this has been borne entirely by the heating costs of the tenants, but from next year there will be a phased model that passes the burden on to the landlord in terms of how harmful his building is to the climate.

If an apartment has a poor energy balance of more than 52 kilograms of CO2 per square meter, the landlord now pays 90% and the tenant only 10% of his heating costs. This should then be reduced in up to 10 steps down to 0% for the landlord, insofar as the building complies with the EH55 energy standard or better. In this case, the tenant continues to bear all costs for CO2 pricing in accordance with the Fuel Emissions Trading Act (BEHG).

Germany was the first country in Europe to introduce national emissions trading through BEHG, and the European Union is now toying with the idea of ​​introducing this across the EU in order to ensure that CO2 emissions in the building and transport sectors are priced accordingly in all countries. It will be interesting to see how quickly this will be implemented.

Due to the Easter holidays, there will only be an auction on EEX on four days this week and the following week; in the coming week there will only be three auction dates for EU emission allowances. Accordingly, the prices have now been slightly bullish and closed above the 80-euro-mark on Friday.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument01/04/2208/04/22Change
EUA (Spot-Market)78.28 EUR80.15 EUR+1.87 EUR
EUA (December-2022-Future)78.49 EUR80.09 EUR+1.60 EUR
VCU (Voluntary Carbon Units ø)10.99 USD11.45 USD+0.46 USD
VER (Gold Standard Spotmarkt ø)6.29 USD5.98 USD-0.31 USD
nEZ (German National Carbon Units)30.00 EUR30.00 EUR+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)104.38 USD102.27 USD-2.11 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1028 USD1.0875 USD-0.0153 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. The VER quotes are average rates (carboncredits.com), which can be used within the framework of CORSIA and voluntary carbon offsetting. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH