Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2017-09-11)

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen,

In our market report of August 28, we had noticed that “we can wait in suspense for the price developments in September”. But what actually happened on the carbon market last week, can only be described as spectacular.

The trade started last Monday at 5.83 EUR and then began a rally that catapulted the price in today’s early trading to EUR 7.20, marking a new yearly high. The analyst Stefan Küster from “EnergyCharts” had on Thursday a long-term view on the chart since 2008 and came to the conclusion that the market “technically stands before an important, not to say, „a decisive setting the course”. In this context, he did not rule out that we might see again the ten-euro mark.

In addition to a very positive energy sector, signals from the politics also contributed to this bullish course fire. For example, during the week was announced, that France and Germany are advocating an agreement about the new regulations for the fourth trading period already before the coming world climate summit in November. On Wednesday of this week the trialogue talks will go to the next round and here were news that some progress has been made behind closed doors in the run-up.

It is also remarkable that last Thursday the auction was canceled on the EEX, because the bids were significantly below the market. The volume will now be distributed to the upcoming auctions.

 

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2017-09-08 2017-09-01 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 7.06 EUR 5.82 EUR +1.24 EUR
EUA (December-2017-Future) 7.07 EUR 5.83 EUR +1.24 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.20 EUR 0.20 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 53.71 USD 52.73 USD +0.98 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.2035 USD 1.1860 USD +0.0175 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask have usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. These market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

 

 

With kind regards,

 

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2017-09-04)

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen,

At the beginning of last week, the price of European pollution rights reached a half-year high of EUR 6.20, but then had to accept slight corrections day by day during the week. The traders thus anticipated the fact that from Friday onwards the full auction quantities came into the market. As a result, the carbon market closed considerably below the six-euro mark at EUR 5.83. The price on Friday fell even below the result of the auction of the morning, at which 5.88 EUR were signed. Twenty of the 23 bidders were able to take the 4.473.000 fresh certificates home, so there was no further pressure on the spot market from this side. In today’s early trading, the price tends slightly higher than the settlement price on Friday.

Today, the German chancellor is meeting with representatives of many municipalities threatened with driving bans for diesel cars. For the life and business location of Germany such prohibitions would be a more than serious setback. In this respect, the argument of the car makers is absolutely incomprehensible, according to which the measures adopted at the Diesel Summit would bring as many improvements for inner cities as driving bans. This is an attitude that only the car industry is able to have!

 

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2017-09-01 2017-08-25 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 5.82 EUR 6.08 EUR -0.26 EUR
EUA (December-2017-Future) 5.83 EUR 6.09 EUR -0.26 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.20 EUR 0.20 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 52.73 USD 51.98 USD +0.75 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1860 USD 1.1931 USD -0.0071 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask have usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. These market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

 

 

With kind regards,

 

Advantag Services GmbH

 

 

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2017-08-28)

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen,

On 1 August, with the start of the annually recurring phase with halved EUA auction volumes, the price level for EUAs was at EUR 5.25. In today’s early trading, a few days before the end of this month, the market reached a peak of EUR 6.19, i.e. almost one euro more. This tremendous price increase is, of course, not based only on the reduced sales volumes, but was supported by a generally positive market environment and particularly by the strong energy sector. An exception, however, was the oil price, which otherwise often has been a benchmark for the carbon market. Although showing some strong volatility in August, it remained at an average price level of around 52.00 USD.
In any case, it can already be said that the market for European pollution rights has not seen a comparable strong August during the entire third trading period and therefore we can wait in suspense for the price developments in September.

In the public discussion on diesel problems, one result of the so-called Diesel Summit has so far received little attention, namely the establishment of four expert groups, which are to analyze individual areas of the problem in a quick timely sequence and to elaborate policy proposals. One such special theme is, for example, the sector of ??public vehicle fleets, which is very important for the environmental pollution in inner cities. It is obvious that buses and taxis, which are not only occasional in the city centers, produce a significant part of the emissions, and it is hoped that the planned timetable until the end of October will actually produce real results that may even show the way for other sectors.

 

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2017-08-25 2017-08-18 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 6.08 EUR 5.81 EUR +0.27 EUR
EUA (December-2017-Future) 6.09 EUR 5.82 EUR +0.27 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.20 EUR 0.21 EUR -0.01 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 52.83 USD 52.83 USD -0.85 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1931 USD 1.1761 USD +0.0170 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask have usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. These market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

 

 

With kind regards,

 

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2017-08-21)

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen,

despite all climate change denier, the month July 2017 is globally seen the warmest ever recorded July since the beginning of weather service records. The last three years became the warmest since 1880. The explanation, that El Niño is mainly responsible for these warming is also relative, because El Niño is already resolved.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

The European carbon emissions compliance market rose strongly after breaking the resistance around 5.50 Euro. The market was closing 8% higher at 5.81.

But at that level it´s not unlikely, that the market will be faced with a consolidation, because next Friday summer time with halved auction volume will be finished and new 4.473 million German EUAs will find their way to the market. After that on September 4, the ordinary volume of 4.2615 European units are looking for bidders.

 

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2017-08-18 2017-08-11 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 5.81 EUR 5.38 EUR +0.43 EUR
EUA (December-2017-Future) 5.82 EUR 5.39 EUR +0.43 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.21 EUR 0.21 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 52.83 USD 52.03 USD +0.80 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1761 USD 1.1772 USD -0.0011 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask have usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. These market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

 

 

With kind regards,

 

Advantag Services GmbH

 

 

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2017-08-14)

Dear Ladies and Gentlemen,

The German car manufacturers are still telling the faerie tale from the environmental-friendly combustion engine and talking about the clean diesel engine. In that context one can read abstruse computations to outline electric vehicles as bad for the climate, especially regarding the production of the batteries.

Hereby they ignore the fact, that the production of a combustion engine, which has partially more than 1,000 parts of aluminium and other metals, needs significantly more raw materials, than an electric engine with 99% less parts. The production of a car with combustion engine has a carbon footprint between around 4 and 7.5 tons.

The easiest way is to compare two equal cars, the Smart for example. The production of that car with combustion engine emits 4.3 tons of carbon dioxide, the production of the electric Smart has an output of 5.2 tons (Source: life cycle assessment, Prof. Dr. Eckhard Helmes, Prof. Dr. Oliver Turk and others).

The model with combustion engine and a mileage of 100,000 Kilometre has a carbon footprint of around 20 tons, the green-electricity powered Smart emits in the same time 6 tons, which is 70% less. Of course, the source of power is very important, but also with the average of the German power mix, the electric Smart would have a carbon footprint of 14 tons, what is almost 30% less than the combustion car.

The significant global increase of electric cars – especially in Asia and America – needs more of lithium. That´s, why Bolivia invests millions in the production of the “white Gold”. Bolivia intents to produce a yearly output of 30,000 tons of lithium carbonate, which costs currently 13,000 USD per ton. At the moment, the world market leader in lithium, Chile, has reserves of 7.5 million tons. Bolivia has estimated 9 million tons in reserve. That will ensure the production of batteries for electric vehicles for many years and lead to a significant emission reduced transport sector.

A minimum quote, as German chancellor candidate Martin Schulz claims, is the wrong signal. Subsidies, which are well known by diesel fuel, are unrewarding and belongs to antiquated concepts. It´s much more reasonable to cut the diesel subsidies and use that money to invest into the charging infrastructure, because the electric vehicles are getting better and cheaper and own enough advantages to convince the market.

The European market of carbon emissions was pillowed by the still reduced auction volume and the higher percentage demand. That has led to a moderate increase of four Cent to 5.34 Euro per ton.

 

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2017-08-11 2017-08-04 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 5.38 EUR 5.34 EUR +0.04 EUR
EUA (December-2017-Future) 5.39 EUR 5.35 EUR +0.04 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.21 EUR 0.21 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 52.03 USD 52.38 USD -0.35 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1772 USD 1.1774 USD -0.0002 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask have usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. These market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

 

 

With kind regards,

 

Advantag Services GmbH