Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (10/08/2020)

Dear Madam or Sir,

Midsummer temperatures in Europe, which meteorologists believe will last for several more days, have contributed to the price for CO2 emission rights closing with a slight weekly increase in the first week of August, as the air conditioning systems in buildings have a high energy consumption.

Due to the Polish auction taking place on Wednesday, 9.2 million EUA will be auctioned this week at the Leipzig EEX, followed by 6.6 million CO2 certificates in the coming week.

The summer break ends at the beginning of the 36th calendar week on August 31st and the auction volume is halved. Due to the Summer Bank Holiday on August 31, 2020 and an EEX event on Thursday, September 4, only two auctions with a total of 6.6 million EUA will take place in calendar week 36.

Thus, the start of the higher auction volume does not begin until the 37th calendar week, in which a total of 21.7 million certificates will be offered, including 810,500 emission rights for the aviation industry on September 9th.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument31/07/202007/08/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)26.21 EUR26.36 EUR+0.15 EUR
EUA (December-2020-Future)26.28 EUR26.42 EUR+0.14 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.28 EUR0.30 EUR+0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)43.70 USD44.64 USD+0.94 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1777 USD1.1785 USD+0.0008 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (03/08/2020)

Dear Madam or Sir,

The Environmental Action Germany (Deutsche Umwelthilfe e.V. – DUH) has made its own evaluation of data from the Federal Environment Agency and compared the nitrogen pollution in the air between cities against which the association had successfully filed suit and those cities against which no suit was filed. It came to the conclusion that the decrease in air pollution in the cities complained about was twice as high as in the other cities. DUH attributes the greater decrease to enforced driving bans on old diesel vehicles. This at least shows that local initiatives, as controversial as they may be, apparently lead to measurable effects.

On a global level, concerned scientists are constantly looking towards the Arctic. The temperature of 21.2 degrees recently measured in Svalbard has only been exceeded once since weather records began, in the summer of 1979. Normally, the average temperature during the summer months is only 5 – 8 degrees. At the same time, the Alfred Wegener Institute (AWI) in Bremerhaven has noted a historical decrease in sea ice around the North Pole. The unusually high temperatures, especially in the Russian part of the polar region, are also being noted as a cause.

In the course of the correction in the CO2 market, the price sought to approach the 25-euro mark in the short term during the past trading week, but this proved to be a fundamental support. As a result, the price rose again significantly and established itself above the 26-euro line. As of today, auction volumes on the EEX have been reduced to half, as usual in August.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument24/07/202031/07/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)26.29 EUR26.21 EUR-0.08 EUR
EUA (December-2020-Future)26.37 EUR26.28 EUR-0.09 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.30 EUR0.28 EUR-0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)43.26 USD43.70 USD+0.44 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1655 USD1.1777 USD+0.0122 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Carbon Market News (27/07/2020)

Dear Madam or Sir,

The corona pandemic is in full swing in the United States and many countries in South America, and scientists in Europe are also concerned that a second wave will come at the end of the holiday season at the latest. How politics will deal with this second wave is so far unclear, but at least regional lockdowns are a possible option.

Even though the prices for Brent crude oil have been above the USD 40 mark since mid-June and the prices for non-ferrous metals such as copper, aluminium or zinc also testify to rising demand, the rapid rise in the crisis metal gold shows that Nervousness of investors, who currently do not really want to trust the significantly increased stock markets.

Shortly before the summer break and the jump above the 30 euro mark two weeks ago, the prices for CO2 certificates made a correction by taking profits, which also continued in the past week. From a technical point of view, the bullish trend is still there, as long as the support lasts in the range of approx. 26 euros.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument17/07/202024/07/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)27.73 EUR26.29 EUR-1.44 EUR
EUA (December-2020-Future)27.82 EUR26.37 EUR-1.45 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.30 EUR0.30 EUR+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)43.08 USD43.26 USD+0.18 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1425 USD1.1655 USD+0.0230 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (20/07/2020)

Dear Madam or Sir,

While Poland wants to avoid responsibility for a Europe-wide goal of climate neutrality in 2050, the German Federal Ministry for the Environment decides to launch a comprehensive package of measures to support developing and emerging countries in dealing with the COVID 19 crisis in an ecologically-oriented manner. To this end, it is making 68 million euros available from funds from the international climate protection initiative. 29 projects in 25 countries are to be supported. In particular, emergency aid measures for nature reserves, stabilization of the economy with employment-promoting climate protection projects, advice for climate-friendly economic stimulus programs and pandemic prevention through the protection of biodiversity will be supported.

A report from the “Scientific Report” shows that climate protection must be rapidly advanced through global measures, which already predicts a CO2 content in the atmosphere for 2025, as it did in the so-called Pliocene 3.3 million years ago. At that time, the global sea level was around 20 meters higher – at 3 to 4 ° C higher global average temperature.

On Monday of the past trading week, the prices for European CO2 emission rights broke the EUR 30 mark and marked a high of EUR 30.80, which led to speculative market participants taking profits in the second half of the week.

This week, 13 million EUAs will be put up for auction at EEX, followed by 18.5 million EUAs in the coming week. After that, August starts with a halved auction volume, which means a volume of only 6.6 million EUA in the first week of August.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument10/07/202017/07/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)28.96 EUR27.73 EUR-1.23 EUR
EUA (December-2020-Future)29.02 EUR27.82 EUR-1.20 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.28 EUR0.30 EUR+0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)43.20 USD43.08 USD-0.12 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1305 USD1.1425 USD+0.0120 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (13/07/2020)

Dear Madam or Sir,

Traders and analysts still rub their eyes when they look at the price development on the CO2 market since the end of June. After the price for European pollution rights on the London ICE passed the 29-euro mark in no time at the beginning of the last trading week, the all-time high on Tuesday came within reach. Now one could have expected a price around 30 euros – but only towards the end of the year and above all without the influence of a pandemic. The suspicion that the CO2 market was being artificially driven up by speculative traders, for example by hedge funds, quickly became more and more widespread, which is why some states apparently brought new regulations such as price caps to curb speculation into discussion. In fact, the price then left its unstoppable upward trend, albeit without a clear correction. Since then, the price has oscillated in a broad corridor, but at the end of the week it moved up again significantly. Even if a high CO2 price is indeed the declared goal of the European Trading System, such an influence by extraneous speculators can of course not be desired.

Meanwhile, last week, the EU adopted rules for the so-called modernisation fund, which is intended to promote investment in the modernisation of the energy sector in general and energy efficiency in lower-income Member States. The fund will be endowed with EUR 14 billion from ETS revenues.

A look at the start of the new trading week reveals a significantly strengthened CO2 price, which seems to be heading for its all-time high again.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument03/07/202010/07/2020Change
EUA (Spotmarket)27.89 EUR28.96 EUR+1.07 EUR
EUA (December-2020-Future)27.96 EUR29.02 EUR+1.06 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)0.27 EUR0.28 EUR+0.01 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)42.78 USD43.20 USD+0.42 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1245 USD1.1305 USD+0.0006 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH