Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (23/09/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

This afternoon, the German Chancellor Angela Merkel will speak in front of the UN World Climate Change Conference in New York, attended by other heads of state. US President Trump, who is not known to prioritize knowledge, prefers to attend a religious event that is about faith.

The Chancellor also has the German “Climate Protection Plan 2030”, which should include the area and traffic. For this, a national CO2 certificate trade should be the controlling instrument. The prices are to start in 2021 with 10 euros per ton and by 2025 to 35 euros. From 2026, a maximum price of 60 euros per tonne should initially apply.

Calculated on the German consumer this will burden the driver by three cents in 2021. At a consumption of six liters that is 18 cents per 100 kilometers. This difference can be seen at many gas stations already in one day by natural fluctuations. Where there should be a steering effect remains the secret of the grand coalition. Also, why you want to increase the commuter flat rate by 5 cents per kilometer from the 20th kilometer to 35 cents, because here has the frequent traveler at 100 kilometers of commuting an advantage of four euros, which he can deduct more of his tax burden. At a tax rate of 30%, the discharge is thus 1.20 euros and a burden of emissions trading of 0.18 euros. The one who emits so much CO2, gets as a reward for more than a euro of the grand coalition for 100 kilometers. Although the train journey will now be about 10% cheaper, most commuters hardly convinced. And the cities and feeder roads will continue to be clogged with an upward trend.

For this reason, not only the opposition parties are disappointed, but also all those who have taken a courageous step towards climate neutrality. However, Robert Habeck of the German Greens wants to take the initiative in the Bundesrat and bring about corrections.

Although the fright of the attacks in the Middle East on the oil refineries has not yet been digested, the price of crude oil has returned to normal and has fallen back to the end of the week after rising by a fifth. What remained was a little more than four dollars or just over 7%. In the wake of this, the emission rights also increased to over 27 euros at the beginning of the week last week, but concluded at the end of the trading week only with a moderate increase of a plentiful half percentage point. This week, 15,782,500 EUAs from the EU, Germany and Poland are looking for their customers at the Leipzig EEX.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 13/09/2019 20/09/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 26.33 EUR 26.52 EUR +0.19 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 26.38 EUR 26.53 EUR +0.15 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.21 EUR 0.21 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 60.26 USD 64.66 USD +4.40 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1073 USD 1.1017 USD -0.0056 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Fridays for Future

Dear Lady or Sir,

In Germany, the average temperature has already risen by 1.5 ° C compared to pre-industrial times, globally by 1.0 ° C.

An active fight against global warming, and thus against man-made greenhouse gas emissions, is therefore the greatest challenge in human history.

The management of Advantag has therefore decided to exempt all employees participating in the worldwide climate strike today.

We therefore ask for your understanding, if we are only partially accessible today.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (16/09/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

Next Friday, the German grand coalition of CDU and SPD wants to present their concept for less CO2 emissions. On this day demonstrations of “Fridays for Future” as well as other climate protection alliances take place in many cities in Germany and worldwide.

In particular, the steering instruments are under discussion here, with either a fixed carbon tax or the more flexible national emission allowance trading in particular for the transport sector and the real estate sector. Among other things, negotiations will continue this week on climate-friendly heating, more attractive public transport and electromobility.

The fact that electromobility in particular can make a major contribution is shown by a calculation by the German motor vehicle trade magazine “Krafthand”, which has determined exactly how much electricity is needed to supply six liters of diesel – a value which a normal diesel car costs on average for 100 kilometers needed. So if you include oil production, transport to the refineries, processing there and transport to the gas station, you can get six liters of diesel to 42 KWh of electricity without driving a kilomaster. With 42 kWh of electricity, for example, you can drive more than 300 kilometers with, for example, the BMW i3 electric car. And that at green power entirely without CO2 emissions.

Following the attacks on two oil rigs in Saudi Arabia this past weekend, the price of crude oil rose sharply this morning, rising in some cases more than 10% against Friday’s close. The EUA futures have also benefited from the fact that they exceeded the € 27 mark at the start of trading. The development of the oil price could continue to cause movement in the energy markets and also in the CO2 prices this week.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 06/09/2019 13/09/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 25.06 EUR 26.33 EUR +1.27 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 25.08 EUR 26.38 EUR +1.30 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.21 EUR 0.21 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 61.63 USD 60.26 USD -1.37 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1026 USD 1.1073 USD +0.0047 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (09/09/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

Against the background of the increasingly catastrophic and cost-intensive effects of climate change, the governing parties in Germany are preparing for the 20th of September. Decisions on climate policy are to be launched on this day, but unity of the coalition parties cannot be found shortly before this date. There is a consensus, that CO2 emissions should have a price, but however, the question of the “how” between CO2 taxes on the one hand and a national emissions trading on the other is still highly controversial. It will be a Herculean task to distribute the burdens of the most urgently needed climate protection in a socially equitable manner but also not to strangle the country’s economy. At the same time, of course, the climate targets for 2030 should not be forgotten.

The carbon market did not show a consistent trend during the past trading week. The Brexit chaos, fundamental economic data and the increased supply of fresh certificates have led to very different dealer behavior. In the first half of the week as well as last Friday, for example, massive sales led to a significant correction cuts and pushed the price below the 25-euro mark. In between, however, was quite strong buying interest in the market, so one could even imagine a breakthrough up. In today’s early trading, the bullish signals again prevailed and pushed the price to over EUR 25.30.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 30/08/2019 06/09/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 26.31 EUR 25.06 EUR -1.25 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 26.32 EUR 25.08 EUR -1.24 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.21 EUR 0.21 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 58.95 USD 61.63 USD +2.68 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.0989 USD 1.1026 USD +0.0037 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (02/09/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

Electromobility is a topic that is significantly worse off in Germany than in other countries with much larger domestic markets. This factor, which is particularly important in Germany, will be disruptive, which is completely out of the question. In the coming years, it will be decided whether cars will continue to be “Made in Germany” or, in the future, mobile telephones will come from the Far East in the future. The electric car is similar to the touchscreen smartphone from Apple, which was completely overslept by the former industry leader Nokia.

In Germany’s major cities, the number of charging stations is growing rapidly, as well as the number of purely electrically powered vehicles. Munich is leading the way on 01.01.2019 with 3,122 electric cars, followed by Berlin with 2,713 and Hamburg with 2,233. Düsseldorf is far behind with 567 electric cars at the beginning of the year.

To include transport and agriculture as quickly as possible in the CO2 emissions trading, could continue to support here.

Carbon emission allowances have stabilized in the past week and have risen slightly despite Boris Johnson’s attempt to undermine democracy in the UK. Since today, the summer break is over at the auctions at the Leipzig EEX and it is again the normal auction calendar. A total of 8,323,500 EUA will be auctioned this week on three trading days, with no auctions on Wednesday and Thursday. In the coming week, there will be 15,782,500 EUA and on Tuesday an additional 892,000 permit rights for air traffic (EUAA).

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 23/08/2019 30/08/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 25.15 EUR 26.31 EUR +1.16 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 25.10 EUR 26.32 EUR +1.22 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.20 EUR 0.21 EUR +0.01 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 58.20 USD 58.95 USD +0.75 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1153 USD 1.0989 USD -0.0164 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH