Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (02/12/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

Last week – to coincide with the COP25 World Climate Change Conference in Madrid, which begins this week – the German government has published its monitoring report on climate change in Germany. According to the Federal Environment Ministry, the consequences of global warming in Germany are more noticeable and can be better documented. According to the report, the average air temperature in Germany has already increased by 1.5 degrees from 1881 to 2018. In the last five years alone, this has increased by 0.3 degrees. Among other things, this leads to more health risks due to heat stress, an increase in the mean surface temperature of the North Sea and greater fluctuations in agricultural yields. Now, the Federal Environment Ministry wants to promote the promotion of artificial intelligence in the fight against climate change with 45 million euros, since human intelligence is obviously not enough.

In the next two weeks, the rules of the Paris Agreement on Climate Change will be worked on in Madrid, which is not yet completely finished and will come into force next year. The IPCC has already stated that efforts will not be enough to limit climate change to below 2 ° C. Accordingly, 66 states have already announced that they want to improve their climate targets.

Another issue is uniform rules for an international carbon market. Countries that do not achieve sufficient greenhouse gas reductions should finance climate protection projects in other countries and thereby acquire pollution rights. Accurate monitoring is, however, absolutely necessary here, as there were already irregularities in the previous CDM and JI mechanisms.

Perhaps the biggest controversial issue could be the review of the Warsaw Mechanism, which was agreed in 2013 to ensure that poor countries that are particularly affected by global warming receive appropriate assistance, either from drought disasters, storms or sea-level rise especially in the regions of Asia and Africa. Here are the rich industrialized nations required, which contribute the most to global warming.

Prices for European CO2 emissions rose again slightly in the past trading week, despite significant losses in crude oil. This week, 15.8 million certificates will be auctioned in Leipzig. From December 17, the Christmas break for auctions at the EEX begins on Monday, the 16.12.2019 come this year for the last time 3,013,000 EUA under the hammer.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 22/11/2019 29/11/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 24.57 EUR 25.12 EUR +0.55 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 24.58 EUR 25.22 EUR +0.64 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.18 EUR 0.18 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 63.64 USD 60.76 USD -2.88 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1020 USD 1.1017 USD -0.0003 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Carbon Market News (25/11/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

Starting with the cut-off date of January 1, 2018, only about 800 billion tons of CO2 are expected to be emitted globally, in order to limit global warming to well below 2 degrees by 2100, according to the IPCC. In view of the current global emissions of about 40 billion tons per year, the world will therefore still have about twenty years left before humankind needs to be climate-neutral.

In a study for the Campact organization, the New Climate Institute came to the conclusion that Germany needed to be climate-neutral by 2030 so as not to miss the 1.5-degree target and to remain within the national budget.

Simply put, everyone would still have a good 100 tonnes of CO2 that they can emit in the years to come. A global CO2 emissions trading scheme in which all people can participate would, above all, achieve one thing – justice. After all, the people who are most affected by climate change are those who have the least responsibility for it.

Prices for European CO2 emissions recovered slightly last week in a positive market environment. This week, due to the Polish and German auction, 15.8 million new certificates will be auctioned at the Leipzig EEX. The demand for the auctions could be a good indicator of how prices will develop over the coming days.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 15/11/2019 22/11/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 23.85 EUR 24.57 EUR +0.72 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 23.85 EUR 24.58 EUR +0.73 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.16 EUR 0.18 EUR +0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 63.35 USD 63.64 USD +0.29 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.11051 USD 1.1020 USD -0.0031 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (18/11/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

The German Bundestag passed the climate protection law last Friday and now only has to pass the Bundesrat. The law sets out how much CO2 can be emitted each year in the areas of buildings, transport, agriculture, energy and industry. The goal of greenhouse gas neutrality by 2050 for Germany will be enshrined in law for the first time. So far, the Federal Government’s 2050 target has been 80 to 95 percent CO2 reduction. The starting price per tonne of CO2 for the transport and housing sectors should be just 10 euros from 2021 onwards.

The German Greens, on the other hand, who have just held their congress in Bielefeld, demand a price of 60 euros per tonne of CO2 and could head for the Chancellery with consistently good election polls.

Regardless, even Chancellor Angela Merkel sees a global warming of 3°C as likely, should the international community remain with the current climate protection goals. According to the Federal Chancellor, 20 percent of the world’s population consumed 80 percent of global resources, which is why these states have a special responsibility.

Greenhouse gas prices continued to be slightly bearish last week, losing nearly one euro. It can not be ruled out that the market will remain under pressure in the new trading week and wants to test the half-year low of EUR 22.03, after having broken important technical support measures. In addition, this week will bring 15,781,000 on five trading days on the Leipzig EEX for auction.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 08/11/2019 15/11/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 24.84 EUR 23.85 EUR -0.99 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 24.84 EUR 23.85 EUR -0.99 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.18 EUR 0.16 EUR -0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 62.64 USD 63.35 USD +0.71 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.11018 USD 1.1051 USD +0.0033 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (11/11/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

the media hype around Greta Thunberg and the movement “Fridays for Future” seems to be coming to an end and climate protection is just one of many topics. So it is fitting that the warning of 11,000 scientists from 184 countries is not to be found on the front pages of the newspapers on which the climate protection movement had recently found a place.

The joint declaration of the scientists, of which 900 are from Germany, warns of a global climate emergency. At the same time, the scientists have come to the conclusion that the objectives of the Paris Agreement on climate change are not enough to reduce global warming. And here too, only 28 EU states and 7 other countries are on the right track.

At the same time, the scientists warned that there would be untold human suffering insofar as human behaviour on greenhouse gas emissions would not fundamentally change. To achieve this, they are calling for, among other things, the switch to renewable energies, a sustainable change in the world economy, the containment of world population growth and the reduction of animal products.

It is to be hoped that this urgent warning will be a topic at the upcoming World Climate Change Conference in Madrid next month.

Prices for one ton of CO2 emissions have become slightly cheaper in the EU next week. During this trading week, 11,066,500 EUAs will be offered for auction on the Leipzig EEX on four days, which is 5.6 million fewer shares than in the previous week.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 01/11/2019 08/11/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 25.28 EUR 24.84 EUR -0.44 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 25.29 EUR 24.84 EUR -0.45 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.20 EUR 0.18 EUR -0.18 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 61.52 USD 62.64 USD +1.12 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1165 USD 1.1018 USD -0.0147 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (04/11/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

The German Chancellor Angela Merkel has again invited top representatives from politics and the automobile industry to this evening’s car summit. All participants are aware that there is still a wide gap between idea and reality when it comes to the environmentally relevant topic of electro mobility. In the run-up to the meeting, the Chancellor has set the target of one million charging stations in Germany by 2030 in her video pod cast. It has obviously become a crucial question whether the charging infrastructure should first be expanded or whether the production and sale of electric cars should first be boosted. Here again the question of range plays a decisive role. Drivers have been conditioned for decades to fossil fuel being available around the clock, seven days a week. Hardly anyone goes on a journey with a full can of gasoline in their car, no matter how long the planned journey may be. But electric mobility lacks exactly this simplicity. It is hardly surprising that flexibility plays a decisive role in the decision to buy. The Chancellor’s announcement therefore seems to be pointing in the right direction. In addition to this topic, other aspects will also be discussed, such as other drive technologies and autonomous driving.

The CO2 market has received a significant boost in the last trading week. The “never ending story” of the British EU withdrawal once again played a significant role in this. Instead of the planned Brexit there are now new elections, but this can hardly eliminate the real sticking points. The price for the European Pollution Rights (EUA) rose steadily during the week and even surpassed the 26 Euro mark for a short time. However, this trend was abruptly reversed on Friday, when massive selling was seen in the afternoon and the price leveled off at EUR 25.30.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 25/10/2019 01/11/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 24.95 EUR 25.28 EUR +0.33 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 24.97 EUR 25.29 EUR +0.32 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.20 EUR 0.20 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 61.69 USD 61.52 USD -0.17 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1080 USD 1.1165 USD +0.0085 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH