Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2019-03-05)

Dear Sir or Madam,

Three renowned researchers from the University of California, Professor Yangyang Xu, Professor Veerabhadran Ramanathan and Professor David G. Victor, have published an article in the journal Nature, which shows that the short – term consequences of climate change in particular are massively underestimated and that the Global warming is much faster than expected. They list three chains of evidence. First, in 2017 alone, CO2 emissions of 37 gigatonnes per year were estimated, leading to a global temperature increase of 0.25 to 0.32 ° C per decade over the next 25 years. On the other hand, the accelerated reduction of air pollution will help to warm the climate faster, as they can no longer reflect the sunlight. Furthermore, they see signs that the earth is approaching a natural warming phase that could last for several decades. These three effects reinforce each other and could lead to a warming of 1.5 ° C already in 2030. 2045 could already fall the 2 ° C mark. The scientists are therefore calling for new climate change priorities as well as strategies to adapt to their consequences.

CO2 allowances rebounded strong last week, after plunging sharply the week before. With an increase of 18%, they closed above the 22-euro mark in the last trading week. Also on Monday they continued the rally and left the mark of 23 euros behind. For the time being there is a major technical resistance in the area of 23.50 which needs to be overcome in order to remain bullish.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2019-02-22 2019-03-01 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 18.80 EUR 22.18 EUR +3.38 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 18.94 EUR 22.28 EUR +3.34 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.23 EUR 0.23 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 67.13 USD 64.99 USD -2.14 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1338 USD 1.1364 USD +0.0026 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2019-01-21)

Dear Sir or Madam,

The price of oil has risen sharply during the third consecutive trading week and has rallied around 9.00 USD a barrel during this period. In addition to the hope for a change of attitude in the trade dispute between the USA and China, a clear cut in production volumes from ??the OPEC countries pushed the price significantly up. Although some analysts forecast an even stronger price increase, some factors tend to argue against it. Thus, according to the abovementioned reduction in production, the total output is still well above the demand level and at the same time the USA has reported a record output of 11.9 million barrels per day.

While In June 2016, the relatively surprising outcome of the British referendum on leaving the European Union had triggered a huge drop in emissions allowances, this topic currently no longer plays a significant role. Neither the failed vote on the Brexit deal on Tuesday, nor the failed vote on the motion of no confidence against Theresa May, had a negative effect on the price performance of the EUAs.

Instead, the icy winter temperatures and the constantly rising oil prices pushed CO2 close to the 25 euro mark. Thus, even in the current trading week, it is unlikely that the political events in London and Brussels will affect the price of pollution rights.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2019-01-11 2019-01-18 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 22.59 EUR 24.83 EUR +2.24 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 22.60 EUR 24.86 EUR +2.26 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.24 EUR 0.24 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 60.40 USD 62.59 USD +2.19 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1466 USD 1.1367 USD -0.0099 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (2018-01-14)

Dear Sir or Madam,

Since the beginning of November 2018, there has not been an auction for emission rights from German contingent at EEX, as the EU first had to confirm EEX as a platform for the auctioning of German certificates. As a result, 21,807,000 EUA less came on the market in the past year, which will now also be auctioned in the new year. At the end of last week, the Leipzig EEX was able to announce the current auction data for 2019.

Overall, Germany will auction on the EEX between 01.02.2019 and 13.12.2019 now 156,028,500 EUA. Regularly, 3,209,000 EUA from German contingents come weekly until July, taking into account the reduction of the Market Stability Reserve (MSR) for the weekly auction. The volume is halved in August and from September to mid-December the auction volume is 4,732,500 EUA.

As this was expected by most of the market participants, there was no particular reaction from the EUA course. In the past trading week, prices ranged between 21.18 and 23.26 euros per EUA; The weekly closing price was slightly lower than in the previous week and was at 22.59 Euro on the spot market, which was only one cent away from the December 2019 futures market contract.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 2019-01-04 2019-01-11 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 23.49 EUR 22.59 EUR -0.90 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 23.73 EUR 22.60 EUR -1.13 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.24 EUR 0.24 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 57.07 USD 60.40 USD +3.53 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1395 USD 1.1466 USD +0.0071 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220 or +44.20.79790283.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

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The fault of the telephone system has been corrected in the meantime and we are again under our usual phone number +49 (0) 2831.1348220 reachable.

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Advantag Group

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