Category: General

Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,

2019 wurden in Deutschland ungefähr 800 Millionen Tonnen Treibhausgase emittiert, was einem Rückgang von 6,3% gegenüber 2018 entspricht, wie die vorläufige Bilanz des Umweltbundesamtes aufzeigt. Dies bedeutet gegenüber 1990 einen Rückgang um 35,7%.

Insbesondere die Energiewirtschaft trug hierzu mit einer Reduktion von ca. 17% bei, was vor allem an der gesunkenen Nutzung von Kohle aufgrund der höheren Preise für Emissionsrechte lag, aber auch am höheren Anteil erneuerbarer Energien.

In den Bereichen Verkehr und Gebäude hingegen waren steigende CO2-Emissionen zu verzeichnen, was nicht zuletzt an den Verkaufszahlen leistungsstarker Kraftfahrzeuge und SUVs lag.

Bislang war das Jahr der Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise 2009 das Jahr mit dem größten Rückgang an Treibhausgasemissionen, was nun von 2019 gefolgt wird.

Wie hoch der Rückgang im Jahr 2020 sein wird, lässt sich noch nicht abschätzen, da niemand mit auch nur annähernder Sicherheit abschätzen kann, wann der Krisenmodus aufgehoben wird und die Wirtschaft wieder Fahrt aufnehmen kann. Zudem ist noch völlig ungewiss, wie hoch die direkten ökonomischen Auswirkungen und deren Kollateralschäden sein werden.

Dies wird auch die Preise für CO2-Emissionen in den kommenden Wochen bestimmen, welche in der vergangenen Woche eine erste Bodenbildung gezeigt haben. Inwieweit diese anhält, hängt nicht zuletzt von politischen Entscheidungen ab, welche auf nationaler und europäischer Ebene getroffen werden, um die Krise in Europa abzumildern.

(Durchschnittliche Börsenkurse / OTC)
Instrument	27.03.20	03.04.20	Veränderung
EUA (Spotmarkt)	16,31 EUR	17,86 EUR	+1,55 EUR
EUA (Dezember-2020-Future)	16,39 EUR	18,06 EUR	+1,67 EUR
CER (Spotmarkt)	0,29 EUR	0,31 EUR	+0,02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	28,15 USD	34,95 USD	+6,80 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1,1169 USD	1,0802 USD	-0,0367 USD

(Die durchschnittlichen Börsenkurse und OTC-Preise zeigen das jeweilige Mittel von Angebot und Nachfrage verschiedener Handelsplätze für CO2-Emissionsrechte. Bid und Ask weichen üblicherweise mehrere Cent vom Mittelwert ab. Rohöl und Euro zeigen Börsenschlusskurse. Bei den CER-Kursen handelt es sich um CP2-CERs, welche im Rahmen des EU-ETS Verwendung finden können. Unsere Marktberichte stellen keine Empfehlung zum Handel von Emissionsrechten oder deren Derivaten dar und dienen ausschließlich der Information. Sollten Sie den Newsletter nicht mehr beziehen wollen, bitten wir um eine kurze Nachricht an den Absender.)

Bei Rückfragen steht Ihnen unser Händlerteam jederzeit gerne zur Verfügung.

Mit freundlichen Grüßen

Ihre

Advantag Services GmbH 

Dear Sirs and Madames,

After a week in crisis mode, measures to slow down the corona pandemic have now been extended to all European countries. Not only is public life largely at a standstill, companies are also feeling the violent effects of the crisis.

Germany now wants to provide 600 billion to support the economy as state aid, in the United States it should even be a trillion US dollars.

In Germany, the auto industry, the chemical and pharmaceutical industries as well as electrical engineering will be affected to a great extent, but also the tourism industry.

The big question here is how long the state of emergency will last and when it will return to normal. The economy would be able to hold out for two or three weeks and regain momentum with government aid, but the problem will continue for longer. Virus researchers say it won’t be possible to return to normal mode until 2021.

Accordingly, the financial markets are correspondingly nervous and have suffered immense price losses, as an economic and financial crisis threatens an unprecedented scale and will question capitalism in its current form.

The CO2 emission rights have also suffered high losses and have lost a substantial 10 euros since the beginning of the corona crisis. In view of the market stability reserve, which is intended to counteract an abundance of allowances in phases of the recession, this seems unnecessary, but it cannot be ruled out that the EU could also create special regulations here.

In particular, the German Emissions Trading Authority has already announced that no measures will be initiated due to late compliance fulfillment of the duty to pay, insofar as this has not been carried out in good time, for example due to the illness of employees.

We wish you a pleasant working week and are available from your home office as usual during normal trading hours.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)
Instrument	13/03/2020	20/03/2020	Change
EUA (Spotmarket)	21.92 EUR	16.02 EUR	-5.90 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)	21.94 EUR	16.11 EUR	-5.83 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)	0.29 EUR	0.29 EUR	+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	35.07 USD	27.21 USD	-7.86 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1.1100 USD	1.0688 USD	-0.0412 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Dear Sir or Madam,

the European pollution rights have become significantly more expensive for another week in a row, and in the second half of the week they started moving towards the 26-euro mark. Moderate but persistent optimism on the corona virus supported the markets, which was also reflected in oil prices.

During the weekend, however, there was alarming news of new infections from South Korea and Italy, which put into question the apparent easing signaled by China. In a globalised world, the spread of a new virus appears to be increasingly difficult to control.

As a result of this situation, the oil price fell by almost two US dollars over the weekend and pulled down the CO2 emission certificates at the start of trading this morning.

At the ICE in London the auction dates for the accumulated British EUA were announced as expected. In a rather relaxed rhythm of two to three auctions per month, this year, starting with around 5.7 million allowances on 4 March, a total of little more than 125 million EUAs will be auctioned in London on Wednesdays. However, this should not lead to additional price pressure, as the figures were known for a long time.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)
Instrument	14/02/2020	21/02/2020	Change
EUA (Spotmarket)	24.24 EUR	25.55 EUR	+1.31 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)	24.29 EUR	25.61 EUR	+1.32 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)	0.25 EUR	0.24 EUR	-0.01 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	57.34 USD	58.44 USD	+1.10 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1.0831 USD	1.0848 USD	+0.0017 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Dear Sir or Madam,

There are new records in the climate change category almost every day. The measuring station in Manua Loa, Hawaii, recorded an absolute maximum CO2 concentration of 416.08 ppm (parts per million) in the atmosphere – in February.

In addition, researchers had a new temperature record in the Antarctic a few days ago. Brazilian soil scientist Carlos Schaefer told the AFP news agency on Thursday that a temperature of 20.75 degrees measured on the northern tip of Antarctica on February 9. Schaefer said “There has never been such a high temperature in Antarctica” and that it is the first time that the 20-degree mark has been exceeded.

Last week, OPEC lowered its forecast for crude oil demand due to the corona virus and the associated weaker Chinese economic growth. OPEC assumes that there will be an oversupply of 570,000 barrels per day in the second quarter of 2020. This initially caused crude oil prices to drop further, but a strong technical countermovement prevailed on the market, causing Brent crude oil to close at $ 2.84 a week.

In the course of this, the prices for CO2 certificates also increased significantly and set above the 24-euro mark. This week, the auction of 11.6 million EU emission rights is on the EEX trading calendar, next week it will be 5.3 million more EUA due to the Polish auction.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)
Instrument	07/02/2020	14/02/2020	Change
EUA (Spotmarket)	23.28 EUR	24.24 EUR	+0.96 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)	23.34 EUR	24.29 EUR	+0.95 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)	0.21 EUR	0.25 EUR	+0.04 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	54.50 USD	57.34 USD	+2.84 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1.0944 USD	1.0831 USD	-0.0113 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH