Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (16/12/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

The Chilean leadership of the world climate conference, which ended yesterday with the biggest delay in its history, was clearly disappointed by the outcome of the summit. The participants probably could have started their departure already on Friday, because the efforts of Chilean Environment Minister Carolina Schmidt to get a presentable result in the extension failed because of bitter resistance of a few states – above all Brazil. But even the USA, Saudi Arabia and Australia did not want to commit themselves to binding regulations for international cooperation and thus in connection with global trade in climate protection certificates.

A year ago, the summit in Poland had already failed on the same question, and now it is to be finally addressed in Glasgow in 2020. However, one does not have to be a downright pessimist to express doubts here. The states do not shake off the decisions of Paris in principle, except for the USA, which had declared its withdrawal from the agreement and thus officially will step off on 4 November 2020. But these national interests remain, which are closely linked with the interests of the lobby around fossil energy sources and could not be overcome so far. Thus the question of how the international community of the UN wants to solve this knot justifiably arises.

A few days ago, the European Union also found itself facing a similar question, with its new Commission President von der Leyen pushing ahead with the proposal of a so-called “Green Deal”. Here it was Poland that refused to sign. But here, too, the focus should be on the other states, which have apparently understood that the pace of global processes in favour of the global climate lags far behind the worsening climate crisis. There is also a growing awareness and indignation that a few states are in a position to block important processes.

Last week, the CO2 market was once again influenced by speculative traders. During the first days of trading, the price stagnated at 25 euros. It was not until Thursday that the market began to gain momentum again. On Friday the price was even pushed to just below the 26 Euro mark. But the bulls apparently ran out of steam at this point. When the mark was not overcome, the bears again took over the direction. The price melted away and only found support in early trading just above EUR 23.50 today.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 06/12/2019 13/12/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 24.88 EUR 24.01 EUR -0.87 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 24.94 EUR 24.02 EUR -0.92 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.18 EUR 0.20 EUR +0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 64.34 USD 64.93 USD +0.59 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1055 USD 1.1120 USD +0.0065 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (04/11/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

The German Chancellor Angela Merkel has again invited top representatives from politics and the automobile industry to this evening’s car summit. All participants are aware that there is still a wide gap between idea and reality when it comes to the environmentally relevant topic of electro mobility. In the run-up to the meeting, the Chancellor has set the target of one million charging stations in Germany by 2030 in her video pod cast. It has obviously become a crucial question whether the charging infrastructure should first be expanded or whether the production and sale of electric cars should first be boosted. Here again the question of range plays a decisive role. Drivers have been conditioned for decades to fossil fuel being available around the clock, seven days a week. Hardly anyone goes on a journey with a full can of gasoline in their car, no matter how long the planned journey may be. But electric mobility lacks exactly this simplicity. It is hardly surprising that flexibility plays a decisive role in the decision to buy. The Chancellor’s announcement therefore seems to be pointing in the right direction. In addition to this topic, other aspects will also be discussed, such as other drive technologies and autonomous driving.

The CO2 market has received a significant boost in the last trading week. The “never ending story” of the British EU withdrawal once again played a significant role in this. Instead of the planned Brexit there are now new elections, but this can hardly eliminate the real sticking points. The price for the European Pollution Rights (EUA) rose steadily during the week and even surpassed the 26 Euro mark for a short time. However, this trend was abruptly reversed on Friday, when massive selling was seen in the afternoon and the price leveled off at EUR 25.30.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 25/10/2019 01/11/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 24.95 EUR 25.28 EUR +0.33 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 24.97 EUR 25.29 EUR +0.32 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.20 EUR 0.20 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 61.69 USD 61.52 USD -0.17 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1080 USD 1.1165 USD +0.0085 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Fridays for Future

Dear Lady or Sir,

In Germany, the average temperature has already risen by 1.5 ° C compared to pre-industrial times, globally by 1.0 ° C.

An active fight against global warming, and thus against man-made greenhouse gas emissions, is therefore the greatest challenge in human history.

The management of Advantag has therefore decided to exempt all employees participating in the worldwide climate strike today.

We therefore ask for your understanding, if we are only partially accessible today.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (26/08/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

On the last day of the G7 conference in Biarritz, France, climate protection is on the program. After the experience of the past with Mr Trump, it is no wonder that for the first time in the history of the summit, no joint final declaration is planned. All the more surprising is the news that the US President plans to enrich the host’s compulsory press conference this afternoon with his presence, which would also be a novelty.

The Senator of Vermont and presidential candidate for the Democrats 2020, on the other hand, presented a resolution on climate change last Thursday, setting out the goals and principles for the US fight against climate change. Unlike the incumbent president, Sanders recognizes that climate change is a major concern and that the United States must reduce its greenhouse gas emissions to zero by the middle of the century. As the news portal vox.com reported, most of the other presidential candidates have set the year 2050 as the target for carbon neutrality. Sanders’ plan, however, also sets an interim target: By 2030, transport and power generation, the two largest sources of emissions in the US, should be decarbonised, reducing US emissions by 71 percent. The plan also provides for the US to help developing countries reduce their emissions by 36 percent by 2030.

In the market for European Pollution Rights, the Bears also set the tone last week. Apparently under the impression of the further escalating trade dispute between the US and China, the price of oil has clearly given way and thus no turnaround could be initiated for EUAs. At the London ICE, a price of just under 25 euros was even called in the short term, which represents a nine-week low. The massive price increase in June and July was thus completely consumed. In today’s early trading, however, the market is clearly up and has already gained almost 50 cents.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 16/08/2019 23/08/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 26.00 EUR 25.15 EUR -0.85 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 25.96 EUR 25.10 EUR -0.86 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.20 EUR 0.20 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 58.94 USD 58.20 USD -0.74 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1097 USD 1.1153 USD +0.0056 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (22/07/2019)

Dear Sir or Madam,

The world’s most northerly weather station in the North of Canada experienced a very unusual heatwave last week, recording a record high of 21 ° C. The station is located at 82 degrees north latitude and is the northernmost permanently inhabited place on earth. This heat wave causes fires of unprecedented proportions to erupt in the Arctic.

The current data on the use of fossil fuels for power generation show how CO2 emissions trading serves climate protection. As a result of higher prices, 11.5 million tonnes of energy were produced in June 2019; in June 2018 it was still 17 million tons. This is particularly related to the fact that the rise in CO2 allowances has led to more than 60% increase in electricity produced by gas-fired power plants from 2.3 to 3.7 billion kilowatt hours.

According to the Fraunhofer Institute for Solar Energy Systems (ISE), the cost of generating lignite-fired power was 30-40 euros per megawatt-hour due to high CO2 prices, while electricity from gas-fired power plants is 24 – 28 euros. This is pleasing insofar as electricity from gas generates only half as much CO2 as is the case with lignite. The more expensive the CO2 certificates are, the less CO2 is emitted in power generation. At prices that would be well above the 30-euro mark, coal-fired power plants would be unprofitable and shut down for this reason alone. That would precede the coal exit in 2038.

Last week, the EUA continued to be bullish, peaking at EUR 29.50 at the beginning of the week. However, whether the 30-euro mark is to be tested depends on a strong market environment in the energy sector, with crude oil in particular currently weakening. At the start of the week, the EUA again rose above the 29 euro mark.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)      
Instrument 12/07/2019 19/07/2019 Change
EUA (Spotmarket) 28.76 EUR 28.85 EUR +0.09 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future) 28.79 EUR 28.89 EUR +0.10 EUR
CER (Spotmarket) 0.21 EUR 0.21 EUR +0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) 66.79 USD 62.52 USD -4.27 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex) 1.1269 USD 1.1220 USD -0.0049 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH