Dear Sir or Madam,
The steering effect of the persistently high price for CO2 emission certificates was targeted by politicians for many years and is now finally realized. Throughout Europe, energy producers must face the fact that coal-fired power generation is no longer competitive. Last week, RWE announced that it would close a 1.56 GW coal-fired power plant in the UK on 31/03/2020. With this measure, only four coal power plants remain in operation on the island. The United Kingdom, however, is aiming to cease coal production by 2025.
From Germany, the Federal Association of the energy industry reported that in June for the first time in five years in a month more electricity was imported than exported. The reason for this is also that electricity from coal is no longer cheaper than electricity from gas-fired power plants or renewable energies.
Meanwhile, in the Czech Republic, a governmental advisory council has been set up in the spirit of a coal commission to work out suggestions on how the changed market situation can be accommodated.
In the European Emissions Trading Scheme it was the introduction of the Market Stability Reserve that triggered the rapid price increase. Similarly, further control measures would now have to be bravely conceived and swiftly implemented so that areas such as agriculture and transport, above all aviation, are decarbonised as quickly as possible.
The annual halving of auction volumes in August led to a rebound in the price in the past trading week. After the consolidation phase, which pushed the price well below 28 euros by the middle of the week, the interest in buying picked up sharply on Thursday by more than five percent. It is quite likely that the market will not only test the € 30 mark again in the course of the month, but that it can also be overcome.
| (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC) | |||
| Instrument | 26/07/2019 | 02/08/2019 | Change |
| EUA (Spotmarket) | 28.25 EUR | 29.23 EUR | +0.98 EUR |
| EUA (December-2019-Future) | 28.29 EUR | 29.26 EUR | +0.97 EUR |
| CER (Spotmarket) | 0.21 EUR | 0.21 EUR | +0.00 EUR |
| ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future) | 63.23 USD | 61.29 USD | -1.94 USD |
| EURO (Currency, Forex) | 1.1131 USD | 1.1109 USD | -0.0022 USD |
(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)
Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.
With kind regards,
Advantag Services GmbH