Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (29/11/2021)

Dear Sir or Madam,

In Germany, the coalition negotiations have come to an end and the new government consisting of the SPG, Greens and FDP, which will soon begin, wants to set clear accents in the area of ​​climate protection.

There should be a minimum price of 60 euros per ton of CO2 or its equivalent for greenhouse gas emissions and climate money, which should particularly benefit households with low incomes. These should also receive a one-off heating cost allowance.

The cost of CO2 certificates in national emissions trading should not be increased any further due to the already high energy prices.

Furthermore, the EEG surcharge is to be discontinued from 2023, which in particular should lower electricity prices and thus also serve electromobility.

The high prices for CO2 emissions alone make the generation of electricity from coal increasingly unprofitable and transition technologies such as gas will move into the focus of energy supply companies until the further expansion of renewable energies has progressed sufficiently.

From 2025, all newly installed heating systems in residential buildings are to be operated on the basis of at least 65% renewable energies.

Only when vehicles with internal combustion engines are phased out there should not be an end date in Germany, as is the case in many other markets. However, from 2023 only vehicles with a demonstrably positive climate effect will be funded, which can also travel at least 80 kilometers electrically, which is aimed at plug-in hybrids.

The market for EU emission rights reacted clearly bullish to the plans of the largest European economy and rallied on Thursday with a new all-time high of EUR 75.05.

Since the financial markets reacted very clearly to the new South African virus mutation and impending further lockdowns towards the end of the last week of trading, the EUA could not take this high-altitude flight with them until the end of the week, but closed with a plus of 3.41 euros confidently above the 70- Euro mark. At today’s start of trading, however, the EUA reached another all-time high, which is now at EUR 75.25.

In the national German emissions trading system, there are now six more dates in the next three weeks, on Tuesdays and Thursdays, at which companies subject to the tax can still buy regularly at a price of 25 euros.

If you have any further questions, please do not hesitate to contact our consultants.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument19/11/2126/11/21Change
EUA (Spot-Market)69.36 EUR72.77 EUR+3.41 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)99.36 EUR72.78 EUR+3.42 EUR
CER (Voluntary Spot-Market ø)4.78 USD4.78 USD+0.00 USD
VER (Gold Standard Spotmarkt ø)13.69 USD13.69 USD+0.00 USD
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)78.43 USD72.82 USD-5.61 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1282 USD1.1316 USD+0.0034 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs and VERs are average prices in the voluntary carbon offsetting market (eco securities). Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (25/10/2021)

Dear Sir or Madam,

The German “Kreditanstalt fur Wiederaufbau”, or “KfW” for short, was founded after the Second World War as part of the Marshall Plan to support Germany that was destroyed by the war. Since then, KfW has directed investments and promoted the implementation of the government’s plans.

In the future, according to the ideas of liberal party FDP boss Christian Lindner, KfW should be funded investments in climate protection with programs amounting to at least 50 million euros annually. The aim is to promote the transformation towards decarbonization and renewal in various sectors, including the real estate industry. Why the speed limit of 130 is not implemented, even though it saves more than two million tons of CO2 annually without any remarkable effort, remains incomprehensible.

The EU market for CO2 emission rights saw a sharp correction last week, as the EUAs broke through an important support line close to 57 euros. The December future was briefly quoted just above the € 54 mark and only managed to show prices above the € 60 mark again on Friday. On a weekly closing price basis, there was still a minus of 1.17 euros.

In the coming week, 11.4 million EUA will again be auctioned on behalf of the EU, Poland and Germany at the Leipzig EEX.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument15/10/2122/10/21Change
EUA (Spot-Market)59.41 EUR58.24 EUR-1.17 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)59.44 EUR58.27 EUR-1.17 EUR
CER (Voluntary Spot-Market ø)3.50 USD4.78 USD+1.28 USD
VER (Gold Standard Spotmarkt ø)14.49 USD13.69 USD-0.80 USD
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)84.82 USD85.86 USD+1.04 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1598 USD1.1645 USD+0.0047 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs and VERs are average prices in the voluntary carbon offsetting market (eco securities). Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (18/10/2021)

Dear Sir or Madam,

the high energy prices have meanwhile also reached those responsible in the European Union. The EU Energy Commissioner Kadri Simson expressed concern about the current price development and called it an exceptional situation. Kadri Simson also named the economic upswing and the associated demand for energy as drivers.

Since revenues from CO2 emissions trading increased by almost 11 billion euros across the EU in the first nine months of the year, funds from this could be used to take measures to support households that suffer particularly due to low incomes. With regard to short-term individual measures, however, Brussels referred to the national responsibilities of the EU member states.

The price development on the European market for CO2 emission rights showed a sideways movement in the past trading week, which, however, showed an increase of almost 2% compared to the previous week’s closing price. The mark of 60 euros, which is important in terms of market psychology, could not be maintained, although the price was repeatedly above it.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument08/10/2115/10/21Change
EUA (Spot-Market)58.29 EUR59.41 EUR+1.12 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)58.33 EUR59.44 EUR+1.11 EUR
CER (Voluntary Spot-Market ø)3.50 USD3.50 USD+0.00 USD
VER (Gold Standard Spotmarkt ø)14.49 USD14.49 USD+0.00 USD
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)82.50 USD84.82 USD+2.32 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1580 USD1.1598 USD+0.0018 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs and VERs are average prices in the voluntary carbon offsetting market (eco securities). Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (11/10/2021)

Dear Sir or Madam,

The discussion about the high energy prices continued at the different platforms during the last trading week. The search for the causes poses a not inconsiderable challenge, because in an open, globally networked market, the connections between causes and effects can rarely be precisely depicted.

So, while some saw the sharp rise in the carbon price itself as the cause, other market observers tended to see the gas price as the driving force. And depending on this, corresponding political demands follow. Apparently, the EU Commission is considering both short-term regulatory intervention in the gas market and more sustainable strategies to contain energy prices. This, in turn, may have motivated Russian President Putin to speak loudly about increasing supply volumes. Poland, which is currently walking politically on the edge of a Polexit, wants a price cap on CO2 like a mantra, and voices are also getting louder here and there calling for access restrictions for speculators.

However, their influence is obvious as far as they are concerned. Of course, this is true in all sectors that speculators are discovering as a playground for themselves – and sometimes even with dramatic effects on entire economies and/or on the fate of individuals. There is no doubt that the speculative participants have recently helped to raise the carbon price to a level that influences environmentally relevant corporate decisions – a goal explicitly sought by the Paris Agreement.

Last Wednesday, however, the price of European pollution rights fell by around 9 percent amid huge trading volumes, driving the price from over 65 euros to below the 58-euro mark for a short time. This was of course a buy signal, especially for compliance companies, and so the price initially rose again a little. By the end of trading, however, the market had not really recovered from this correction and it remains to be seen when and at what pace the price will rise again.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument01/10/2108/10/21Change
EUA (Spot-Market)61.99 EUR58.29 EUR-3.70 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)62.04 EUR58.33 EUR-3.71 EUR
CER (Voluntary Spot-Market ø)3.50 USD3.50 USD+0.00 USD
VER (Gold Standard Spotmarkt ø)14.49 USD14.49 USD+0.00 USD
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)79.14 USD82.50 USD+3.36 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1592 USD1.1580 USD-0.0012 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs and VERs are average prices in the voluntary carbon offsetting market (eco securities). Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Emissions Trading / Carbon Market News (09/08/2021)

Dear Sir or Madam,

As of today, Monday, the first part of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) new Assessment Report will be presented. The Assessment Reports of the IPCC serve as the authoritative basis for global climate policy and will also play a role at the UN Climate Change Conference in Glasgow in November.

The president of this climate summit is Alok Sharma, a not uncontroversial British politician who was also Minister for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy until January this year and currently directly supports government work as a Minister of State in the Cabinet Office. Regarding the new assessment report, Sharma spoke at the weekend, according to media reports, of the most urgent warning against climate change to date. According to the report, it is based on scientific evidence that human behaviour is accelerating global warming at an alarming rate. Sharma is quoted as saying, “Every day, in one way or another, we will see a new record in the world.”

To confirm the accuracy of this statement, one only must look at the current news, in which there is not enough space left to comment on all the catastrophes that are currently taking place simultaneously and on all continents. Among the records mentioned by Sharma is the massive melting of the Greenland ice sheet. In combination with far too high temperatures, eight billion tonnes of ice melted in one day alone, so much that an area the size of Florida could be submerged by five centimetres.

Last week, the CO2 price completely decoupled from the oil price and instead dynamically continued its strong upward trend. Since the beginning of the week, the reduced auction volumes have applied on the EEX. Here, persistently high demand led to good auction results, which further boosted the price rise in the direction of the 57-euro mark.

Against this background of such carbon prices, it is not surprising that more and more Eastern European EU countries are also accelerating their plans to decommission coal-fired power plants. And the energy supplier Uniper also wants to shut down one of the four units of its British coal-fired power plant Ratcliffe as early as the end of September 2022 and completely decommission this plant two years later.

  (Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)   
Instrument30.07.2106.08.21Change
EUA (Spot-Market)53.31 EUR56.65 EUR+3.34 EUR
EUA (December-2021-Future)53.33 EUR56.66 EUR+3.33 EUR
CER (Voluntary Spot-Market ø)2.66 USD2.66 USD+0.00 USD
VER (Gold Standard Spotmarkt ø)14.99 USD14.99 USD+0.00 USD
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)75.17 USD70.43 USD-4.74 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)1.1869 USD1.1761 USD-0.0108 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs and VERs are average prices in the voluntary carbon offsetting market (eco securities). Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH