Category: General

Dear Madam or Sir,

April 2020 was the warmest April since weather records started in 1850. The scientists at “Berkeley Earth” are currently assuming that 2020 will be the warmest year so far in weather records.

At the end of last week, we also received good news from the Federal Environment Agency – the decrease in greenhouse gas emissions from German plants covered by mandatory emissions trading was an impressive 14% last year compared to the previous year.

The decisive point here was the control effect of the significantly increased price of CO2 certificates. Coal electricity had to make way for renewable energies more and more, which led to significant savings of 18% CO2 emissions in the past year compared to 2018.

The industry also saw a 4% decline to 119 million tons last year, which also applied to air traffic with only 9 million tons.

The overall decline in the EU was somewhat less, at around 9%, to 1.53 billion tons of CO2e, but the decline compared to 2005, at 36%, can be clearly seen across Europe and has thus already greatly exceeded the 21% saving target. The decline in emissions in the German area of ​​systems covered by emissions trading has so far been 30% compared to 2005.

Not least due to the effects of the corona pandemic, a significant decline in emissions is also to be expected this year, although special care must be taken in the coming years to ensure that there is no rebound in the event of a stronger increase in production. Effect is coming.

A sustainable orientation of the economy and the transport sector, which can be controlled through targeted tax and financial incentives, is therefore essential.

Last week, EUAs closed at the same level as the previous week. The auctions on EEX bring 13.9 million new EUAs to auction at four auctions on EEX in the shortened first week of June.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)
Instrument	22/05/2020	29/05/2020	Change
EUA (Spotmarket)	21.32 EUR	21.31 EUR	-0.01 EUR
EUA (December-2020-Future)	21.40 EUR	21.40 EUR	+0.00 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)	0.30 EUR	0.32 EUR	+0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	36.04 USD	37.57 USD	+1.53 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1.0901 USD	1.1094 USD	+0.0193 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Dear Sirs and Madams,

Around 800 million tonnes of greenhouse gases were emitted in Germany in 2019, which corresponds to a 6.3% decrease compared to 2018, as the preliminary assessment by the Federal Environment Agency shows. This means a decrease of 35.7% compared to 1990.

The energy industry in particular contributed to this with a reduction of approx. 17%, which was mainly due to the lower use of coal due to the higher prices for emission rights, but also to the higher share of renewable energies.

In the transport and building sectors, on the other hand, there were increasing carbon emissions, not least due to the sales figures for high-performance motor vehicles and SUVs.

So far, the year of the financial and economic crisis 2009 was the year with the largest decrease in greenhouse gas emissions, which will now be followed by 2019.

How big the decline will be in 2020 cannot yet be estimated, since nobody can estimate with any certainty when the crisis mode will be released and the economy can pick up speed again. In addition, it is still completely uncertain how high the direct economic effects and their collateral damage will be.

This will also determine the prices for carbon emissions allowances in the coming weeks, which have shown a first bottoming in the past week. The extent to which this continues depends not least on political decisions taken at national and European level to alleviate the crisis in Europe.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)
Instrument	27/03/2020	03/04/2020	Change
EUA (Spotmarket)	16.31 EUR	17,86 EUR	+1.55 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)	16.39 EUR	18,06 EUR	+1.67 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)	0.29 EUR	0,31 EUR	+0.02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	28.15 USD	34,95 USD	+6.80 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1.1169 USD	1,0802 USD	-0.0367 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Sehr geehrte Damen und Herren,

2019 wurden in Deutschland ungefähr 800 Millionen Tonnen Treibhausgase emittiert, was einem Rückgang von 6,3% gegenüber 2018 entspricht, wie die vorläufige Bilanz des Umweltbundesamtes aufzeigt. Dies bedeutet gegenüber 1990 einen Rückgang um 35,7%.

Insbesondere die Energiewirtschaft trug hierzu mit einer Reduktion von ca. 17% bei, was vor allem an der gesunkenen Nutzung von Kohle aufgrund der höheren Preise für Emissionsrechte lag, aber auch am höheren Anteil erneuerbarer Energien.

In den Bereichen Verkehr und Gebäude hingegen waren steigende CO2-Emissionen zu verzeichnen, was nicht zuletzt an den Verkaufszahlen leistungsstarker Kraftfahrzeuge und SUVs lag.

Bislang war das Jahr der Finanz- und Wirtschaftskrise 2009 das Jahr mit dem größten Rückgang an Treibhausgasemissionen, was nun von 2019 gefolgt wird.

Wie hoch der Rückgang im Jahr 2020 sein wird, lässt sich noch nicht abschätzen, da niemand mit auch nur annähernder Sicherheit abschätzen kann, wann der Krisenmodus aufgehoben wird und die Wirtschaft wieder Fahrt aufnehmen kann. Zudem ist noch völlig ungewiss, wie hoch die direkten ökonomischen Auswirkungen und deren Kollateralschäden sein werden.

Dies wird auch die Preise für CO2-Emissionen in den kommenden Wochen bestimmen, welche in der vergangenen Woche eine erste Bodenbildung gezeigt haben. Inwieweit diese anhält, hängt nicht zuletzt von politischen Entscheidungen ab, welche auf nationaler und europäischer Ebene getroffen werden, um die Krise in Europa abzumildern.

(Durchschnittliche Börsenkurse / OTC)
Instrument	27.03.20	03.04.20	Veränderung
EUA (Spotmarkt)	16,31 EUR	17,86 EUR	+1,55 EUR
EUA (Dezember-2020-Future)	16,39 EUR	18,06 EUR	+1,67 EUR
CER (Spotmarkt)	0,29 EUR	0,31 EUR	+0,02 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	28,15 USD	34,95 USD	+6,80 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1,1169 USD	1,0802 USD	-0,0367 USD

(Die durchschnittlichen Börsenkurse und OTC-Preise zeigen das jeweilige Mittel von Angebot und Nachfrage verschiedener Handelsplätze für CO2-Emissionsrechte. Bid und Ask weichen üblicherweise mehrere Cent vom Mittelwert ab. Rohöl und Euro zeigen Börsenschlusskurse. Bei den CER-Kursen handelt es sich um CP2-CERs, welche im Rahmen des EU-ETS Verwendung finden können. Unsere Marktberichte stellen keine Empfehlung zum Handel von Emissionsrechten oder deren Derivaten dar und dienen ausschließlich der Information. Sollten Sie den Newsletter nicht mehr beziehen wollen, bitten wir um eine kurze Nachricht an den Absender.)

Bei Rückfragen steht Ihnen unser Händlerteam jederzeit gerne zur Verfügung.

Mit freundlichen Grüßen

Ihre

Advantag Services GmbH 

Dear Sirs and Madames,

After a week in crisis mode, measures to slow down the corona pandemic have now been extended to all European countries. Not only is public life largely at a standstill, companies are also feeling the violent effects of the crisis.

Germany now wants to provide 600 billion to support the economy as state aid, in the United States it should even be a trillion US dollars.

In Germany, the auto industry, the chemical and pharmaceutical industries as well as electrical engineering will be affected to a great extent, but also the tourism industry.

The big question here is how long the state of emergency will last and when it will return to normal. The economy would be able to hold out for two or three weeks and regain momentum with government aid, but the problem will continue for longer. Virus researchers say it won’t be possible to return to normal mode until 2021.

Accordingly, the financial markets are correspondingly nervous and have suffered immense price losses, as an economic and financial crisis threatens an unprecedented scale and will question capitalism in its current form.

The CO2 emission rights have also suffered high losses and have lost a substantial 10 euros since the beginning of the corona crisis. In view of the market stability reserve, which is intended to counteract an abundance of allowances in phases of the recession, this seems unnecessary, but it cannot be ruled out that the EU could also create special regulations here.

In particular, the German Emissions Trading Authority has already announced that no measures will be initiated due to late compliance fulfillment of the duty to pay, insofar as this has not been carried out in good time, for example due to the illness of employees.

We wish you a pleasant working week and are available from your home office as usual during normal trading hours.

(Average Quotes Exchange / OTC)
Instrument	13/03/2020	20/03/2020	Change
EUA (Spotmarket)	21.92 EUR	16.02 EUR	-5.90 EUR
EUA (December-2019-Future)	21.94 EUR	16.11 EUR	-5.83 EUR
CER (Spotmarket)	0.29 EUR	0.29 EUR	+0.00 EUR
ICE Brent Crude Oil (Benchmark Future)	35.07 USD	27.21 USD	-7.86 USD
EURO (Currency, Forex)	1.1100 USD	1.0688 USD	-0.0412 USD

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CER CP1 and ERU are eligible in ETS until end of March 2015 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH