Category: General

Dear Sir or Madam,

As of today, Monday, the first part of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change’s (IPCC) new Assessment Report will be presented. The Assessment Reports of the IPCC serve as the authoritative basis for global climate policy and will also play a role at the UN Climate Change Conference in Glasgow in November.

The president of this climate summit is Alok Sharma, a not uncontroversial British politician who was also Minister for Business, Energy and Industrial Strategy until January this year and currently directly supports government work as a Minister of State in the Cabinet Office. Regarding the new assessment report, Sharma spoke at the weekend, according to media reports, of the most urgent warning against climate change to date. According to the report, it is based on scientific evidence that human behaviour is accelerating global warming at an alarming rate. Sharma is quoted as saying, “Every day, in one way or another, we will see a new record in the world.”

To confirm the accuracy of this statement, one only must look at the current news, in which there is not enough space left to comment on all the catastrophes that are currently taking place simultaneously and on all continents. Among the records mentioned by Sharma is the massive melting of the Greenland ice sheet. In combination with far too high temperatures, eight billion tonnes of ice melted in one day alone, so much that an area the size of Florida could be submerged by five centimetres.

Last week, the CO2 price completely decoupled from the oil price and instead dynamically continued its strong upward trend. Since the beginning of the week, the reduced auction volumes have applied on the EEX. Here, persistently high demand led to good auction results, which further boosted the price rise in the direction of the 57-euro mark.

Against this background of such carbon prices, it is not surprising that more and more Eastern European EU countries are also accelerating their plans to decommission coal-fired power plants. And the energy supplier Uniper also wants to shut down one of the four units of its British coal-fired power plant Ratcliffe as early as the end of September 2022 and completely decommission this plant two years later.

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs and VERs are average prices in the voluntary carbon offsetting market (eco securities). Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Dear Sir or Madam,

North Sea Brent oil hit a three-year high at $ 77.80 in early July and closed just below the $ 75 mark last week.

The recovering global economy and increasing demand are causing prices to rise, and important producers have only increased their production volumes insignificantly.

Now OPEC + could decide this week about a corresponding increase in production in August, as US crude oil inventories are also falling significantly.

Bank of America has now issued a price target of 100 dollars / barrel for the coming year, which can be attributed to the continued rise in demand.

The prices for EU CO2 emission rights have not benefited from the higher oil price and fell again by around two euros in the last week of trading compared to the previous week. The important mark of 50 euros still seems to be a significant support line here, as larger buy orders are repeatedly executed here.

But the halved auction volume in August could also influence pricing. This week, 15,091,500 EUAs will be auctioned for the last time on EEX, in August there will be only 7,546,500 EUAs per week.

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs and VERs are average prices in the voluntary carbon offsetting market (eco securities). Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Dear Sir or Madam,

Over the past 75 years, the aid organization Oxfam has become one of the largest emergency aid and development organizations and is active in 67 countries.

In the run-up to the G-7 meeting on Friday, she is now urgently warning to fight climate change. According to a study by the Swiss Re Institute, the G7 countries alone would also be affected financially, as in 2050 an average of 8.5% of annual economic output would be affected by the consequences of climate change. That would translate to $ 4.8 trillion in numbers.

In their calculations, the scientists at Swiss Re assume that if the countermeasures are insufficient, warming will rise by more than 2.6° C by 2050, which would reduce the gross domestic product of the G7 countries by 14%. If no further measures are successful, the warming could be 3° C by 2050 and the economies would shrink by 18%.

Emissions trading, which has achieved its goals in Europe in the past three trading periods, was unable to develop any bullish tendencies in the past week and lost another 2% compared to the previous week. The December future closed just below the 50 Euro mark despite the once again shortened trading week.

And the new week begins with technical problems. Due to the relocation of trading on the leading ICE exchange from Great Britain to the Netherlands, no valid prices are available at the moment, which is why, in addition to futures trading, the spot market has now been almost completely paralyzed. It is to be hoped that the ICE can solve these problems in a timely manner.

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs and VERs are average prices in the voluntary carbon offsetting market. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH

Dear Sir or Madam,

The past week can rightly go down in the history books as historic with regards to global climate protection.

Business leaders who have previously classified climate protection as a nuisance and unnecessary matter will in future have the same fate as fossil fuels.

Last Wednesday, the decision-makers of the European Union manifested the reduction target of 55% greenhouse gas reductions compared to 1990 and thus described the roadmap for the next 30 years.

In 2030, the EU should not emit more than 255 million tons of CO2 or its equivalent in other greenhouse gases.

In addition to the ambitious 2030 reduction target, the European Commission is also to set a further interim target in 2040 by 2024. The goal of reducing CO2 emissions by 95% in 2050 could also give way to a net-zero strategy in the future.

As if that hadn’t already been enough for a very good week for climate protection, US President Joe Biden announced at the end of last week at the virtual climate protection meeting he had called that the USA, as the second largest greenhouse gas emitter, should become climate neutral by the middle of the century.

UN Secretary General António Guterres also demanded that fossil fuels should be phased out by 2030 and that CO2 should be priced worldwide, and China’s head of state Xi Jinping and Russian President Vladimir Putin also showed their willingness to cooperate. If the foundation stone for an ambitious joint action against global warming has been laid here, April 2021 may be the time that sealed decarbonization.

One week before the end of the submission deadline for companies subject to EU emissions trading, our predictions were fulfilled and the price for European Allowances (EUA) reached a new all-time high of EUR 47.36 per ton of CO2.

Anyone who has speculated that the certificates will give way again is now mistaken and has to pay a significantly higher price to meet his tax obligation; the prices rose again a good 6% compared to the previous week.

Whether and when the speculators will begin to take profits cannot be precisely predicted, but the stock market is not a one-way street and speculators also tend to liquidate parts of their positions at a profit. The coming trading days will therefore remain exciting.

(The average exchange quotes and OTC-prices shows the average between bids and ask of several exchanges and OTC markets for carbon emission rights in the ETS. Bid and ask has usually in Spot Market a visible spread. CERs CP2 are eligible in ETS until end of April 2021 and must be swapped into EUA. Crude Oil and Euro Currency shows day-end-exchange quotes. This market information has just an informational character and are no advice or offer to trade carbon emission rights or their futures and options. If you want to unsubscribe, please reply to this mail.)

Please call our international carbon desk if any further questions exist: +49.2831.1348220.

With kind regards,

Advantag Services GmbH